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Marian, MA Mustangs (3-9)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/14	ARLINGTON CATHOLIC, MA (15-2)	MA No D2	68.6		L	9-	19		0.000
4/16	at Matignon (2-14)	MA No D2	47.0		W	15-	14		0.300
4/18	ST. MARY'S, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		L	2-	14		0.000
4/21	at Bishop Fenwick, MA (12-3)	MA No D2	65.9		L	5-	19		0.000
4/23	at Austin Prep (7-9)	MA No D2	54.1		L	13-	15		-0.075
4/30	at Archbishop Williams (7-8)	MA So D2	53.2		L	10-	22		-0.050
5/05	MATIGNON (2-14)	MA No D2	47.0		W	14-	6		0.250
5/06	at Arlington Catholic, MA (15-2)	MA No D2	68.6		L	6-	19		0.000
5/07	at St. Mary's, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		L	5-	18		0.000
5/09	at Bellingham (0-13)	MA So D2	44.2			-
5/12	AUSTIN PREP (7-9)	MA No D2	54.1		L	10-	18		-0.125
5/14	ARCHBISHOP WILLIAMS (7-8)	MA So D2	53.2		L	9-	17		-0.100
5/17	at Bishop Fenwick, MA (12-3)	MA No D2	65.9			-
5/19	BELLINGHAM (0-13)	MA So D2	44.2		W	9-	7		0.150
			66.1						0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/14	H	Arlington Catholic, MA	9-	19	-10	-12		-0.92	1.55
4/16	A	Matignon	15-	14	1	-2	+	0.92	2.75
4/18	H	St. Mary's, MA	2-	14	-12	-10	–	-0.92	-2.12
4/21	A	Bishop Fenwick, MA	5-	19	-14	-12	–	0.92	-2.49
4/23	A	Austin Prep	13-	15	-2	-7	++	0.92	4.60
4/30	A	Archbishop Williams	10-	22	-12	-8	––	0.92	-4.21
5/05	H	Matignon	14-	6	8	0	+++	-0.92	7.92
5/06	A	Arlington Catholic, MA	6-	19	-13	-13		0.92	0.38
5/07	A	St. Mary's, MA	5-	18	-13	-12		0.92	-1.29
5/12	H	Austin Prep	10-	18	-8	-5	–	-0.92	-3.23
5/14	H	Archbishop Williams	9-	17	-8	-6	–	-0.92	-2.04
5/19	H	Bellingham	9-	7	2	4		-0.92	-1.82
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Arlington Catholic, MA	9-	19	-1.55
4/18	H	St. Mary's, MA	2-	14	2.00
4/21	A	Bishop Fenwick, MA	5-	19	2.49
4/30	A	Archbishop Williams	10-	22	2.00
5/06	A	Arlington Catholic, MA	6-	19	-0.38
5/07	A	St. Mary's, MA	5-	18	1.29
10-goal correction: 0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	47.		Natl CCR Rank	2172
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	48.08		Natl Power Rank	2172
Natl SOS Rating	53.97		Natl SOS Rank	1638
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	575
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	1596
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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