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Marriotts Ridge Mustangs (9-6)

Region: MD 1A

State: MD

Coach: Natalie Gaieski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	BEL AIR (7-8)	MD 3A	82.2		L	6-	10		-0.200
3/22	CATONSVILLE (13-7)	MD 3A	84.8		L	8-	16		-0.200
3/28	SOUTH CARROLL (8-6)	MD 1A	81.1		W	16-	9		0.200
4/01	HAMMOND (2-9)	MD 2A	73.7		W	19-	3		0.000
4/03	at Mt. Hebron (12-5)	MD 3A	90.0	5	L	4-	16		0.000
4/08	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	73.8		W	20-	11		0.000
4/10	at Century, MD (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	L	9-	16		-0.025
4/11	OAKLAND MILLS (2-11)	MD 1A	71.8		W	19-	4		0.000
4/15	at Howard (3-9)	MD 2A	74.3		W	17-	7		0.000
4/18	ATHOLTON (4-9)	MD 2A	77.6		W	9-	7		0.100
4/22	at Reservoir (10-5)	MD 2A	80.1		W	15-	10		0.200
4/25	RIVER HILL (6-8)	MD 3A	78.6		W	14-	11		0.125
4/29	CENTENNIAL, MD (14-4)	MD 3A	87.0	10	L	7-	14		-0.200
5/02	at Long Reach (1-11)	MD 3A	69.6		W	24-	3		0.000
5/10	vs. Century, MD # (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	L	7-	17		-0.050
# Neutral site			80.6						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Bel Air	6-	10	-4	-2	–	-0.99	-2.05
3/22	H	Catonsville	8-	16	-8	-2	––	-0.99	-5.54
3/28	H	South Carroll	16-	9	7	2	++	-0.99	5.42
4/01	H	Hammond	19-	3	16	13	+	-0.99	3.35
4/03	A	Mt. Hebron	4-	16	-12	-11		0.99	-1.19
4/08	A	Wilde Lake	20-	11	9	11		0.99	-1.63
4/10	A	Century, MD	9-	16	-7	-9	+	0.99	2.18
4/11	H	Oakland Mills	19-	4	15	13		-0.99	1.92
4/15	A	Howard	17-	7	10	10		0.99	0.14
4/18	H	Atholton	9-	7	2	6	––	-0.99	-4.03
4/22	A	Reservoir	15-	10	5	2	+	0.99	2.90
4/25	H	River Hill	14-	11	3	5		-0.99	-1.65
4/29	H	Centennial, MD	7-	14	-7	-2	––	-0.99	-4.84
5/02	A	Long Reach	24-	3	21	14	+++	0.99	6.83
5/10	N	Century, MD	7-	17	-10	-8		0.00	-1.82
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Hammond	19-	3	-3.35
4/03	A	Mt. Hebron	4-	16	1.19
4/11	H	Oakland Mills	19-	4	-1.92
4/15	A	Howard	17-	7	-0.14
5/02	A	Long Reach	24-	3	-6.83
5/10	N	Century, MD	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.74

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	248
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.01		Natl Power Rank	248
Natl SOS Rating	77.75		Natl SOS Rank	144
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1217
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	741
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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