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Mt. Ararat Eagles (9-4)

Region: ME A East

State: ME

Coach: Sam Chard

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/23	MOUNTAIN VALLEY (0-3)	ME B East	54.0		W	15-	2		0.000
4/26	at Cony (2-5)	ME Indep	58.2		W	11-	6		0.125
4/30	CAMDEN COMMUNITY ( -)				W	18-	1
5/03	BRUNSWICK, ME (15-1)	ME A East	76.0	3	L	6-	12		-0.100
5/07	at Oxford Hills (4-5)	ME A East	62.5		L	7-	9		-0.250
5/10	at Messalonskee (1-6)	ME A East	57.6		W	13-	2		0.125
5/13	LEWISTON (7-5)	ME A East	63.7		W	9-	8		0.175
5/15	at Lincoln Academy, ME (0-5)	ME B East	49.3		W	17-	1		0.000
5/19	MORSE (7-6)	ME B East	63.9		W	10-	9		0.175
5/21	MESSALONSKEE (1-6)	ME A East	57.6		W	8-	4		0.050
5/28	at Edward Little (0-4)	ME A East	55.2		W	15-	5		0.050
6/03	at Brunswick, ME (15-1)	ME A East	76.0	3	L	5-	14		-0.025
6/15	at Oxford Hills (4-5)	ME A East	62.5		L	9-	11		-0.250
			67.2						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/23	H	Mountain Valley	15-	2	13	12		-1.39	1.42
4/26	A	Cony	11-	6	5	5		1.39	0.50
5/03	H	Brunswick, ME	6-	12	-6	-6		-1.39	0.02
5/07	A	Oxford Hills	7-	9	-2	0	–	1.39	-2.05
5/10	A	Messalonskee	13-	2	11	5	+++	1.39	6.16
5/13	H	Lewiston	9-	8	1	3		-1.39	-1.94
5/15	A	Lincoln Academy, ME	17-	1	16	14		1.39	1.51
5/19	H	Morse	10-	9	1	3		-1.39	-1.76
5/21	H	Messalonskee	8-	4	4	8	–	-1.39	-3.62
5/28	A	Edward Little	15-	5	10	8	+	1.39	2.01
6/03	A	Brunswick, ME	5-	14	-9	-9		1.39	-0.20
6/15	A	Oxford Hills	9-	11	-2	0	–	1.39	-2.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	H	Mountain Valley	15-	2	-1.42
5/10	A	Messalonskee	13-	2	-1.00
5/15	A	Lincoln Academy, ME	17-	1	-1.51
5/28	A	Edward Little	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1385
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.72		Natl Power Rank	1385
Natl SOS Rating	55.40		Natl SOS Rank	1486
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	917
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	486
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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