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Mount Carmel, MD Cougars (1-18)

Region: MD IAAM C

State: MD

Coach: R. Wojciechowski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at Jemicy School (1-1)	MD	68.5		L	7-	10		0.000
3/19	CATHOLIC HIGH, BALTIMO (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	L	2-	15		0.000
3/26	ST. VINCENT PALLOTTI (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	L	2-	28		0.000
3/27	at Parkville (3-10)	MD 4A	71.5		L	4-	13		0.000
3/31	at Towson Catholic (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	L	8-	13		-0.100
4/02	BETH T'FILOH (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	L	1-	12		-0.075
4/04	BALTIMORE LUTHERAN (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2	1	L	1-	16		0.000
4/09	at Key School (8-10)	MD IAAM C	68.1	4	L	1-	10		0.000
4/10	at Catholic High, Baltimo (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	L	2-	17		0.000
4/14	at St. Vincent Pallotti (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	L	3-	19		0.000
4/16	at Indian Creek School, M (8-3)	MD CALL	66.1		L	2-	13		-0.025
4/18	TOWSON CATHOLIC (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	L	7-	12		-0.175
4/21	EASTERN TECHNICAL (5-11)	MD 2A	73.0		L	2-	20		0.000
4/22	at Key School (8-10)	MD IAAM C	68.1	4	L	1-	10		0.000
4/25	at Baltimore Lutheran (16-3)	MD IAAM C	77.2	1	L	2-	18		0.000
4/29	at Beth T'Filoh (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	L	3-	14		0.000
4/30	KEY SCHOOL (8-10)	MD IAAM C	68.1	4	L	3-	18		0.000
5/02	at Chesapeake, Baltimore (0-8)	MD 1A	54.4		W	13-	4		0.175
5/06	at Catholic High, Baltimo (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	L	1-	14		0.000
			70.0						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Jemicy School	7-	10	-3	-11	+++	1.23		7.81
3/19	H	Catholic High, Baltimo	2-	15	-13	-13		-1.48	-0.38
3/26	H	St. Vincent Pallotti	2-	28	-26	-17	–––	-1.48	-8.75
3/27	A	Parkville	4-	13	-9	-14	++	1.23		4.85
3/31	A	Towson Catholic	8-	13	-5	-6		1.48	0.83
4/02	H	Beth T'Filoh	1-	12	-11	-7	–	-1.48	-3.79
4/04	H	Baltimore Lutheran	1-	16	-15	-17		-1.48	1.76
4/09	A	Key School	1-	10	-9	-13	+	1.48	3.73
4/10	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	2-	17	-15	-16		1.48	0.57
4/14	A	St. Vincent Pallotti	3-	19	-16	-20	++	1.48	4.21
4/16	A	Indian Creek School, M	2-	13	-11	-9		1.87		-1.95
4/18	H	Towson Catholic	7-	12	-5	-3	–	-1.48	-2.12
4/21	H	Eastern Technical	2-	20	-18	-13	––	-1.23		-5.17
4/22	A	Key School	1-	10	-9	-13	+	1.48	3.73
4/25	A	Baltimore Lutheran	2-	18	-16	-20	+	1.48	3.71
4/29	A	Beth T'Filoh	3-	14	-11	-10		1.48	-0.83
4/30	H	Key School	3-	18	-15	-10	––	-1.48	-5.23
5/02	A	Chesapeake, Baltimore	13-	4	9	3	++	1.23		5.77
5/06	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	1-	14	-13	-16	+	1.48	2.57
									0.00	11.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	H	Catholic High, Baltimo	2-	15	0.38
3/26	H	St. Vincent Pallotti	2-	28	8.75
4/02	H	Beth T'Filoh	1-	12	1.00
4/04	H	Baltimore Lutheran	1-	16	-1.76
4/10	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	2-	17	-0.57
4/14	A	St. Vincent Pallotti	3-	19	-4.21
4/16	A	Indian Creek School, M	2-	13	1.00
4/21	H	Eastern Technical	2-	20	5.17
4/25	A	Baltimore Lutheran	2-	18	-3.71
4/29	A	Beth T'Filoh	3-	14	1.00
4/30	H	Key School	3-	18	5.00
5/06	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	1-	14	-2.57
10-goal correction: 0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	59.		Natl CCR Rank	1837
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	58.90		Natl Power Rank	1837
Natl SOS Rating	59.06		Natl SOS Rank	1201
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1465
W-L Pct Rating	0.05		W-L Pct Rank	1990
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-18		Ave Goal diff (all )	-11.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-14		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-14		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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