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Mt. Mansfield Union Cougars (17-2)

Region: VT DI

State: VT

Coach: Dan Linde

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/16	LAMOUILLE UNION (1-11)	VT DII	58.2		W	19-	4		0.000
4/18	MIDDLEBURY UNION (14-4)	VT DI	77.5	3	W	9-	5		0.175
4/23	BFA-ST. ALBANS (7-7)	VT DII	65.9		W	17-	2		0.000
4/26	ESSEX JUNCTION (4-13)	VT DI	65.7		W	20-	10		0.000
4/30	at Champlain Valley Union (5-11)	VT DI	71.0		W	14-	6		0.150
5/02	SOUTH BURLINGTON (12-6)	VT DI	73.9	6	W	12-	10		0.125
5/05	at Spaulding, VT (0-12)	VT DI	60.6		W	19-	4		0.000
5/08	at Burlington, VT (8-7)	VT DII	72.6	9	W	15-	4		0.150
5/10	at Mt. Anthony Union (10-6)	VT DI	74.0	5	W	10-	8		0.250
5/14	at Middlebury Union (14-4)	VT DI	77.5	3	L	9-	13		-0.225
5/16	at Essex Junction (4-13)	VT DI	65.7		W	20-	7		0.050
5/21	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY UNION (5-11)	VT DI	71.0		W	15-	6		0.050
5/24	at South Burlington (12-6)	VT DI	73.9	6	W	11-	6		0.225
5/27	SPAULDING, VT (0-12)	VT DI	60.6		W	21-	10		0.000
5/29	at Brattleboro Union (8-9)	VT DI	72.3	10	W	12-	5		0.150
5/31	BURLINGTON, VT (8-7)	VT DII	72.6	9	W	12-	5		0.050
6/07	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY UNION (5-11)	VT DI	71.0		W	16-	12		0.050
6/11	SOUTH BURLINGTON (12-6)	VT DI	73.9	6	W	12-	7		0.125
6/13	vs. Middlebury Union # (14-4)	VT DI	77.5	3	L	5-	10		-0.275
# Neutral site			70.8						1.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/16	H	Lamouille Union	19-	4	15	21	––	-1.98	-5.83
4/18	H	Middlebury Union	9-	5	4	3		-1.98	1.00
4/23	H	BFA-St. Albans	17-	2	15	13		-1.98	1.73
4/26	H	Essex Junction	20-	10	10	12	–	-1.98	-2.22
4/30	A	Champlain Valley Union	14-	6	8	4	+	1.98	3.53
5/02	H	South Burlington	12-	10	2	5	–	-1.98	-2.58
5/05	A	Spaulding, VT	19-	4	15	12	+	1.98	2.71
5/08	A	Burlington, VT	15-	4	11	4	+++	1.98	6.69
5/10	A	Mt. Anthony Union	10-	8	2	0		1.98	1.67
5/14	A	Middlebury Union	9-	13	-4	-1	–	1.98	-3.03
5/16	A	Essex Junction	20-	7	13	8	++	1.98	4.75
5/21	H	Champlain Valley Union	15-	6	9	8		-1.98	0.56
5/24	A	South Burlington	11-	6	5	1	++	1.98	4.39
5/27	H	Spaulding, VT	21-	10	11	16	––	-1.98	-5.26
5/29	A	Brattleboro Union	12-	5	7	4	+	1.98	3.16
5/31	H	Burlington, VT	12-	5	7	8		-1.98	-1.27
6/07	H	Champlain Valley Union	16-	12	4	8	––	-1.98	-4.44
6/11	H	South Burlington	12-	7	5	5		-1.98	0.42
6/13	N	Middlebury Union	5-	10	-5	1	–––	0.00	-6.01
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	H	Lamouille Union	19-	4	5.83
4/23	H	BFA-St. Albans	17-	2	-1.73
4/26	H	Essex Junction	20-	10	2.22
5/05	A	Spaulding, VT	19-	4	-2.71
5/08	A	Burlington, VT	15-	4	-1.00
5/16	A	Essex Junction	20-	7	-3.00
5/27	H	Spaulding, VT	21-	10	5.26
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	374
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.22		Natl Power Rank	374
Natl SOS Rating	60.87		Natl SOS Rank	1062
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	146
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	91
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	16-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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