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Natick Redmen (1-15 - 1)

Region: MA So D1

State: MA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	DOVER-SHERBORN (10-10)	MA So D2	68.9		L	5-	19		-0.050
4/01	DEDHAM (0-12)	MA So D2	50.5			-
4/03	at Norwood (14-7)	MA So D1	73.6		L	4-	14		0.000
4/07	WEYMOUTH (9-7)	MA So D1	72.5		L	1-	13		0.000
4/09	at Walpole (12-10)	MA So D2	72.8		L	6-	16		0.000
4/11	FRAMINGHAM (22-2)	MA No D1	86.1	2	L	5-	14		0.000
4/14	at Wellesley HS (18-1)	MA So D1	84.5	5	L	1-	16		0.000
4/16	at Needham (19-4)	MA So D1	82.6	7	L	1-	17		0.000
4/17	at Ashland (3-16)	MA So D2	50.9		T	10-	10		0.000
4/30	MILTON, MA (11-9)	MA So D2	70.2		L	4-	15		-0.050
5/01	at Dedham (0-12)	MA So D2	50.5			-
5/05	NORWOOD (14-7)	MA So D1	73.6		L	5-	18		0.000
5/07	at Newton North (4-11)	MA So D1	63.0		L	7-	11		-0.100
5/08	WALPOLE (12-10)	MA So D2	72.8		L	6-	21		0.000
5/12	BROOKLINE (2-16)	MA So D1	53.5			-
5/14	WELLESLEY HS (18-1)	MA So D1	84.5	5	L	4-	23		0.000
5/15	at Braintree (7-11)	MA So D1	64.4		L	6-	15		-0.100
5/19	at Milton, MA (11-9)	MA So D2	70.2		L	6-	16		-0.025
5/21	ASHLAND (3-16)	MA So D2	50.9		W	12-	10		0.200
5/22	at Dover-Sherborn (10-10)	MA So D2	68.9		L	5-	16		0.000
			75.8						-0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Dover-Sherborn	5-	19	-14	-8	––	-0.92	-5.53
4/03	A	Norwood	4-	14	-10	-12		0.92	1.56
4/07	H	Weymouth	1-	13	-12	-10	–	-0.92	-2.43
4/09	A	Walpole	6-	16	-10	-12		0.92	1.66
4/11	H	Framingham	5-	14	-9	-19	+++	-0.92	9.65
4/14	A	Wellesley HS	1-	16	-15	-20	++	0.92	4.93
4/16	A	Needham	1-	17	-16	-20	+	0.92	3.89
4/17	A	Ashland	10-	10	0	0		0.92	0.18
4/30	H	Milton, MA	4-	15	-11	-8	–	-0.92	-3.41
5/05	H	Norwood	5-	18	-13	-10	–	-0.92	-3.27
5/07	A	Newton North	7-	11	-4	-6	+	0.92	2.41
5/08	H	Walpole	6-	21	-15	-10	––	-0.92	-5.17
5/14	H	Wellesley HS	4-	23	-19	-18		-0.92	-0.90
5/15	A	Braintree	6-	15	-9	-6	–	0.92	-2.64
5/19	A	Milton, MA	6-	16	-10	-9		0.92	-0.58
5/21	H	Ashland	12-	10	2	2		-0.92	0.34
5/22	A	Dover-Sherborn	5-	16	-11	-10		0.92	-0.70
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Dover-Sherborn	5-	19	4.00
4/03	A	Norwood	4-	14	-1.56
4/07	H	Weymouth	1-	13	2.00
4/09	A	Walpole	6-	16	-1.66
4/14	A	Wellesley HS	1-	16	-4.93
4/16	A	Needham	1-	17	-3.89
4/30	H	Milton, MA	4-	15	1.00
5/05	H	Norwood	5-	18	3.00
5/08	H	Walpole	6-	21	5.00
5/14	H	Wellesley HS	4-	23	0.90
5/19	A	Milton, MA	6-	16	0.00
5/22	A	Dover-Sherborn	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	51.		Natl CCR Rank	2106
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	52.69		Natl Power Rank	2106
Natl SOS Rating	68.87		Natl SOS Rank	492
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	1350
W-L Pct Rating	0.09		W-L Pct Rank	1930
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-10.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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