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Northern-Calvert Patriots (1-12)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Clarence Tennell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	SOUTHERN, ANNE ARUNDEL (9-7)	MD 2A	79.5		L	5-	11		-0.025
3/28	GREAT MILLS (7-7)	MD 4A	76.7		L	4-	10		-0.100
3/31	LEONARDTOWN (14-2)	MD 4A	82.3		L	1-	14		0.000
4/08	at Patuxent (8-5)	MD 4A	78.5		L	3-	10		0.000
4/14	at Huntingtown (7-6)	MD 3A	77.2		L	0-	13		-0.025
4/15	at Chopticon (9-4)	MD 3A	78.5		L	2-	11		-0.025
4/17	CALVERT (1-10)	MD 3A	71.0		W	7-	6		0.250
4/22	PATUXENT (8-5)	MD 4A	78.5		L	6-	14		-0.050
4/24	at Leonardtown (14-2)	MD 4A	82.3		L	4-	21		0.000
4/29	HUNTINGTOWN (7-6)	MD 3A	77.2		L	8-	17		-0.075
5/02	CHOPTICON (9-4)	MD 3A	78.5		L	4-	6		-0.075
5/06	at Calvert (1-10)	MD 3A	71.0		L	8-	11		-0.200
5/10	at Annapolis (11-6)	MD 3A	82.9		L	4-	25		0.000
			77.6						-0.33

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Southern, Anne Arundel	5-	11	-6	-9	+	-0.99	3.49
3/28	H	Great Mills	4-	10	-6	-6		-0.99	0.30
3/31	H	Leonardtown	1-	14	-13	-13		-0.99	-0.10
4/08	A	Patuxent	3-	10	-7	-10	+	0.99	2.59
4/14	A	Huntingtown	0-	13	-13	-9	–	0.99	-3.63
4/15	A	Chopticon	2-	11	-9	-9		0.99	0.25
4/17	H	Calvert	7-	6	1	0		-0.99	0.79
4/22	H	Patuxent	6-	14	-8	-8		-0.99	-0.39
4/24	A	Leonardtown	4-	21	-17	-15	–	0.99	-2.11
4/29	H	Huntingtown	8-	17	-9	-7		-0.99	-1.61
5/02	H	Chopticon	4-	6	-2	-7	++	-0.99	5.27
5/06	A	Calvert	8-	11	-3	-2		0.99	-1.23
5/10	A	Annapolis	4-	25	-21	-17	–	0.99	-3.63
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Leonardtown	1-	14	0.10
4/14	A	Huntingtown	0-	13	3.00
4/24	A	Leonardtown	4-	21	2.11
5/10	A	Annapolis	4-	25	3.63
10-goal correction: 0.68

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	945
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.75		Natl Power Rank	945
Natl SOS Rating	71.37		Natl SOS Rank	363
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.33		Natl Quality Win Rank	1657
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	1952
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-21.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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