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Newton CDS Falcons (10-4 - 1)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Carrie Phelan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	GANN ACADEMY (5-3)	NE	67.2		W	16-	4		0.025
4/11	at Concord Academy, MA (2-7)	NE	63.0		W	16-	3		0.050
4/14	MONTROSE SCHOOL (0-3)	NE	54.7		W	18-	3		0.000
4/16	PINGREE SCHOOL (14-5)	NE	79.4		L	4-	15		-0.125
4/23	BEAVER CDS (0-8)	NE	54.1		W	20-	6		0.000
4/26	at Berwick Academy (3-7)	NE	62.7		W	12-	4		0.025
4/30	WINSOR SCHOOL (4-4)	NE	68.7		W	11-	10		0.125
5/02	PORTSMOUTH ABBEY (10-3)	NE	76.9		T	13-	13		0.000
5/05	RIVERS SCHOOL (6-8)	NE	75.3		L	6-	7		-0.200
5/07	DANA HALL SCHOOL (5-8)	NE	69.6		L	10-	11		-0.300
5/12	at Beaver CDS (0-8)	NE	54.1		W	17-	4		0.000
5/13	BANCROFT SCHOOL (2-9)	NE	56.9		W	18-	5		0.000
5/14	at Lexington Christian, M (4-6)	NE	67.6		W	21-	10		0.100
5/17	vs. Dana Hall School # (5-8)	NE	69.6		W	10-	7		0.250
5/17	vs. Pingree School # (14-5)	NE	79.4		L	7-	12		-0.100
# Neutral site			70.3						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Gann Academy	16-	4	12	9	+	-1.05	3.11
4/11	A	Concord Academy, MA	16-	3	13	8	++	1.05	4.64
4/14	H	Montrose School	18-	3	15	16		-1.05	-1.05
4/16	H	Pingree School	4-	15	-11	-5	––	-1.05	-5.99
4/23	H	Beaver CDS	20-	6	14	16	–	-1.05	-2.05
4/26	A	Berwick Academy	12-	4	8	9		1.05	-1.31
4/30	H	Winsor School	11-	10	1	5	––	-1.05	-4.35
5/02	H	Portsmouth Abbey	13-	13	0	-3	+	-1.05	2.55
5/05	H	Rivers School	6-	7	-1	-2		-1.05	1.14
5/07	H	Dana Hall School	10-	11	-1	2	–	-1.05	-2.54
5/12	A	Beaver CDS	17-	4	13	14		1.05	-0.96
5/13	H	Bancroft School	18-	5	13	15		-1.05	-1.86
5/14	A	Lexington Christian, M	21-	10	11	6	++	1.05	5.10
5/17	N	Dana Hall School	10-	7	3	0	+	0.00	2.51
5/17	N	Pingree School	7-	12	-5	-6		0.00	1.06
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Gann Academy	16-	4	-2.00
4/11	A	Concord Academy, MA	16-	3	-3.00
4/14	H	Montrose School	18-	3	1.05
4/16	H	Pingree School	4-	15	1.00
4/23	H	Beaver CDS	20-	6	2.05
5/12	A	Beaver CDS	17-	4	0.96
5/13	H	Bancroft School	18-	5	1.86
5/14	A	Lexington Christian, M	21-	10	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	787
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.63		Natl Power Rank	787
Natl SOS Rating	60.43		Natl SOS Rank	1093
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1383
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	468
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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