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Notre Dame Prep, MD Blazers (13-7)

Region: MD IAAM AState: MDCoach: Mary Bartel

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/20at Manhasset (13-5)NY C Sec 888.9W10- 7 0.200  
3/25ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)MD IAAM A89.38L10-12 -0.300  
3/28ST. MARY'S, MD (13-8)MD IAAM A90.76W10- 9 0.225  
3/29at Dulaney (13-4)MD 4A86.0L10-12 -0.350  
3/29vs. Hereford # (9-10)MD 2A81.8W15- 4 0.025  
3/31at Seton Keough (3-13)MD IAAM A82.5W18- 6 0.025  
4/02SEVERN SCHOOL (12-6)MD IAAM A92.43L8- 92ot-0.250  
4/04at St. Paul's SG, MD (7-12)MD IAAM A87.29W14- 5 0.175  
4/09BRYN MAWR SG (9-7)MD IAAM A89.67W8- 5 0.200  
4/11at Archbishop Spalding (13-6)MD IAAM A90.95W11- 9 0.225  
4/12vs. Holy Cross, MD # (8-9)DC WCAC83.2W19- 5 0.050  
4/14at John Carroll School (18-0)MD IAAM A98.71L7-16 -0.125  
4/16MCDONOGH SCHOOL (18-3)MD IAAM A95.62L6- 9 -0.200  
4/23at Mount de Sales (8-10)MD IAAM A86.2W12-11 0.125  
4/25MERCY, MD (4-11)MD IAAM A84.6W12- 6 0.100  
4/26at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (26-0)DC ISL A98.7L8-10 -0.025  
4/30MARYVALE PREP (5-11)MD IAAM A86.910W9- 8 0.100  
5/02SETON KEOUGH (3-13)MD IAAM A82.5W18- 5 0.000  
5/06ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (13-6)MD IAAM A90.95W10- 8 0.200  
5/08at John Carroll School (18-0)MD IAAM A98.71L12-14ot-0.125  
# Neutral site 91.1     0.27  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/20AManhasset10-73   2       0.75       1.35
3/25HRoland Park Country10-12-2   2       ––-0.54       -4.26
3/28HSt. Mary's, MD10-91   1       -0.54       0.33
3/29ADulaney10-12-2   4       –––0.77       -6.45
3/29NHereford15-411   9       0.00       1.58
3/31ASeton Keough18-612   9       +0.54       3.32
4/02HSevern School8-9-1   0       -0.54       -1.22
4/04ASt. Paul's SG, MD14-59   3       +++0.54       6.17
4/09HBryn Mawr SG8-53   2       -0.54       1.32
4/11AArchbishop Spalding11-92   1       0.54       1.19
4/12NHoly Cross, MD19-514   8       ++0.00       5.95
4/14AJohn Carroll School7-16-9   -5       0.54       -3.59
4/16HMcDonogh School6-9-3   -2       -0.54       -1.40
4/23AMount de Sales12-111   5       0.54       -3.99
4/25HMercy, MD12-66   6       -0.54       0.02
4/26ASts. Stephen's & Agnes8-10-2   -9       +++1.30       6.71
4/30HMaryvale Prep9-81   6       ––-0.54       -4.66
5/02HSeton Keough18-513   10       +-0.54       3.25
5/06HArchbishop Spalding10-82   2       -0.54       0.11
5/08AJohn Carroll School12-14-2   -5       +0.54       3.41
         0.009.15

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/29NHereford15-4-1.00
3/31ASeton Keough18-6-2.00
4/12NHoly Cross, MD19-5-4.00
5/02HSeton Keough18-5-3.25
10-goal correction: -0.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 189.   Natl CCR Rank 16
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 15
Natl Power Rating 91.25   Natl Power Rank 17
Natl SOS Rating 98.13   Natl SOS Rank 5
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.27   Natl Quality Win Rank 759
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 588
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.8
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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