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New Milford Green Wave (14-5)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Bill Kersten

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	at Weston, CT (3-12)	CT Div 2	64.6		W	14-	5		0.000
4/10	JOEL BARLOW (9-8)	CT Div 1	74.2		W	16-	11		0.175
4/14	at Lauralton Hall (8-10)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	8-	7		0.150
4/15	BETHEL (3-13)	CT Div 2	63.2		W	13-	2		0.000
4/17	at Brookfield, CT (15-5)	CT Div 1	78.0		L	9-	13		-0.175
4/19	DANBURY (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	L	3-	11		-0.100
4/22	IMMACULATE (12-7)	CT Div 2	73.2		W	14-	6		0.150
4/24	at Newtown (19-3)	CT Div 1	81.2	8	L	12-	14		-0.075
4/25	at Housatonic Regional (1-12)	CT Div 2	58.1		W	14-	1		0.000
4/30	BUNNELL-STRATFORD (1-14)	CT Div 1	59.6		W	13-	2		0.000
5/01	at Notre Dame Catholic (2-13)	CT Div 2	60.7		W	13-	3		0.000
5/03	at Trumbull (6-10)	CT Div 2	73.9		W	10-	8		0.250
5/06	at New Fairfield (5-12)	CT Div 1	67.6		W	15-	4		0.050
5/08	MASUK (6-10)	CT Div 1	69.6		W	11-	6		0.075
5/13	POMPERAUG (11-7)	CT Div 2	73.4		W	13-	5		0.175
5/20	IMMACULATE (12-7)	CT Div 2	73.2		W	13-	9		0.150
5/22	vs. Brookfield, CT # (15-5)	CT Div 1	78.0		L	16-	17	ot	-0.175
5/31	WHEELER, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		W	17-	8		0.025
6/02	DANBURY (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	L	8-	14		-0.100
# Neutral site			67.2						0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	Weston, CT	14-	5	9	11		0.81	-1.97
4/10	H	Joel Barlow	16-	11	5	3	+	-0.81	2.09
4/14	A	Lauralton Hall	8-	7	1	4	–	0.81	-3.36
4/15	H	Bethel	13-	2	11	13		-0.81	-1.78
4/17	A	Brookfield, CT	9-	13	-4	-3		0.81	-0.63
4/19	H	Danbury	3-	11	-8	-6		-0.81	-1.78
4/22	H	Immaculate	14-	6	8	4	++	-0.81	4.25
4/24	A	Newtown	12-	14	-2	-7	++	0.81	5.10
4/25	A	Housatonic Regional	14-	1	13	17	–	0.81	-3.89
4/30	H	Bunnell-Stratford	13-	2	11	16	––	-0.81	-4.64
5/01	A	Notre Dame Catholic	13-	3	10	14	–	0.81	-3.89
5/03	A	Trumbull	10-	8	2	0	+	0.81	2.08
5/06	A	New Fairfield	15-	4	11	8	+	0.81	3.49
5/08	H	Masuk	11-	6	5	7	–	-0.81	-2.19
5/13	H	Pomperaug	13-	5	8	3	++	-0.81	4.91
5/20	H	Immaculate	13-	9	4	4		-0.81	0.25
5/22	N	Brookfield, CT	16-	17	-1	-3		0.00	1.56
5/31	H	Wheeler, CT	17-	8	9	9		-0.81	0.19
6/02	H	Danbury	8-	14	-6	-6		-0.81	0.22
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Bethel	13-	2	1.78
4/25	A	Housatonic Regional	14-	1	3.89
4/30	H	Bunnell-Stratford	13-	2	4.64
5/01	A	Notre Dame Catholic	13-	3	3.89
5/06	A	New Fairfield	15-	4	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.69

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	454
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.89		Natl Power Rank	454
Natl SOS Rating	55.97		Natl SOS Rank	1440
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	387
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	377
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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