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Newtown Nighthawks (19-3)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Maura Fletcher

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Immaculate (12-7)	CT Div 2	73.2		W	14-	6		0.050
4/03	CHESHIRE HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		W	18-	6		0.100
4/08	at Brookfield, CT (15-5)	CT Div 1	78.0		W	16-	12		0.175
4/10	at Pomperaug (11-7)	CT Div 2	73.4		W	15-	3		0.050
4/12	at Wilton (18-4)	CT Div 1	84.2	2	L	5-	11		-0.100
4/17	JOEL BARLOW (9-8)	CT Div 1	74.2		W	21-	9		0.025
4/19	at Glastonbury (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	L	8-	14		-0.175
4/22	at Notre Dame Catholic (2-13)	CT Div 2	60.7		W	17-	3		0.000
4/24	NEW MILFORD (14-5)	CT Div 2	76.9		W	14-	12		0.075
4/26	BUNNELL-STRATFORD (1-14)	CT Div 1	59.6		W	21-	1		0.000
5/01	at Weston, CT (3-12)	CT Div 2	64.6		W	18-	6		0.000
5/06	at Lauralton Hall (8-10)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	14-	2		0.000
5/08	NEW FAIRFIELD (5-12)	CT Div 1	67.6		W	17-	1		0.000
5/10	MASUK (6-10)	CT Div 1	69.6		W	18-	2		0.000
5/12	EAST LYME (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		W	12-	11		0.175
5/15	at Bethel (3-13)	CT Div 2	63.2		W	18-	4		0.000
5/20	NEW FAIRFIELD (5-12)	CT Div 1	67.6		W	16-	6		0.000
5/22	JOEL BARLOW (9-8)	CT Div 1	74.2		W	18-	7		0.025
5/27	vs. Brookfield, CT # (15-5)	CT Div 1	78.0		W	20-	10		0.150
5/31	MERCY, CT (9-10)	CT Div 1	73.2		W	20-	5		0.000
6/02	EAST LYME (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		W	13-	9		0.175
6/04	vs. Darien # (17-4)	CT Div 1	86.4	1	L	10-	18		-0.050
# Neutral site			69.6						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Immaculate	14-	6	8	8		0.81	-0.42
4/03	H	Cheshire HS	18-	6	12	6	++	-0.81	5.55
4/08	A	Brookfield, CT	16-	12	4	3		0.81	1.08
4/10	A	Pomperaug	15-	3	12	8	++	0.81	4.24
4/12	A	Wilton	5-	11	-6	-6		0.81	-0.01
4/17	H	Joel Barlow	21-	9	12	9	+	-0.81	2.80
4/19	A	Glastonbury	8-	14	-6	-3	–	0.81	-3.32
4/22	A	Notre Dame Catholic	17-	3	14	20	–––	0.81	-6.18
4/24	H	New Milford	14-	12	2	7	––	-0.81	-5.10
4/26	H	Bunnell-Stratford	21-	1	20	22		-0.81	-1.93
5/01	A	Weston, CT	18-	6	12	17	––	0.81	-5.26
5/06	A	Lauralton Hall	14-	2	12	11		0.81	1.35
5/08	H	New Fairfield	17-	1	16	15		-0.81	0.59
5/10	H	Masuk	18-	2	16	13	+	-0.81	2.52
5/12	H	East Lyme	12-	11	1	3		-0.81	-1.81
5/15	A	Bethel	18-	4	14	17	–	0.81	-3.46
5/20	H	New Fairfield	16-	6	10	15	––	-0.81	-5.41
5/22	H	Joel Barlow	18-	7	11	9		-0.81	1.80
5/27	N	Brookfield, CT	20-	10	10	4	+++	0.00	6.27
5/31	H	Mercy, CT	20-	5	15	10	++	-0.81	5.19
6/02	H	East Lyme	13-	9	4	3		-0.81	1.19
6/04	N	Darien	10-	18	-8	-8		0.00	0.33
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Cheshire HS	18-	6	-2.00
4/10	A	Pomperaug	15-	3	-2.00
4/17	H	Joel Barlow	21-	9	-2.00
4/22	A	Notre Dame Catholic	17-	3	6.18
4/26	H	Bunnell-Stratford	21-	1	1.93
5/01	A	Weston, CT	18-	6	5.26
5/06	A	Lauralton Hall	14-	2	-1.35
5/08	H	New Fairfield	17-	1	-0.59
5/10	H	Masuk	18-	2	-2.52
5/15	A	Bethel	18-	4	3.46
5/20	H	New Fairfield	16-	6	5.41
5/22	H	Joel Barlow	18-	7	-1.00
5/27	N	Brookfield, CT	20-	10	0.00
5/31	H	Mercy, CT	20-	5	-5.19
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	227
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.15		Natl Power Rank	227
Natl SOS Rating	59.66		Natl SOS Rank	1162
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	316
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	120
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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