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North Harford Hawks (9-8)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Tara Buecker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	MARYVALE PREP (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9		L	10-	16		-0.200
3/28	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7		L	7-	17		0.000
3/29	CENTENNIAL, MD (14-4)	MD 3A	87.0	10	L	8-	10		-0.275
3/29	NORTH CARROLL (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2		W	15-	14	ot	0.100
4/01	FALLSTON (9-6)	MD 3A	86.0		L	6-	12		-0.250
4/03	at C. Milton Wright (9-6)	MD 3A	84.3		L	5-	7		-0.200
4/07	HEREFORD (9-10)	MD 2A	82.2		W	11-	6		0.200
4/08	BEL AIR (7-8)	MD 3A	82.2		W	13-	11		0.225
4/14	at Urbana (9-6)	MD 3A	81.9		W	10-	4		0.200
4/17	at Fallston (9-6)	MD 3A	86.0		W	11-	9		0.300
4/19	at St. Paul's SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2		L	9-	10	ot	-0.150
4/22	C. MILTON WRIGHT (9-6)	MD 3A	84.3		W	9-	6		0.250
4/24	at Bel Air (7-8)	MD 3A	82.2		W	13-	7		0.275
5/05	at Towson HS (14-5)	MD 3A	87.2	9	L	10-	13		-0.200
5/08	at Milford Mill Academy (4-9)	MD Indep	65.1		W	20-	1		0.000
5/10	at Dundalk (11-2)	MD 3A	76.7		W	20-	3		0.000
5/14	at Towson HS (14-5)	MD 3A	87.2	9	L	6-	14		-0.200
			85.1						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Maryvale Prep	10-	16	-6	-2	–	-0.77		-3.83
3/28	H	John Carroll School	7-	17	-10	-14	+	-0.77		3.98
3/29	H	Centennial, MD	8-	10	-2	1	–	-0.99	-3.19
3/29	H	North Carroll	15-	14	1	6	––	-0.99	-4.61
4/01	H	Fallston	6-	12	-6	0	––	-0.99	-5.86
4/03	A	C. Milton Wright	5-	7	-2	-2		0.99	-0.37
4/07	H	Hereford	11-	6	5	2	+	-0.99	2.77
4/08	H	Bel Air	13-	11	2	1		-0.99	0.60
4/14	A	Urbana	10-	4	6	2	++	0.99	4.10
4/17	A	Fallston	11-	9	2	-2	++	0.99	4.12
4/19	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	9-	10	-1	-4	+	0.77		2.99
4/22	H	C. Milton Wright	9-	6	3	0	+	-0.99	2.64
4/24	A	Bel Air	13-	7	6	-1	+++	0.99	6.58
5/05	A	Towson HS	10-	13	-3	-2		0.99	-0.81
5/08	A	Milford Mill Academy	20-	1	19	24	––	0.99	-4.52
5/10	A	Dundalk	20-	3	17	13	++	0.99	4.36
5/14	A	Towson HS	6-	14	-8	-2	––	0.99	-5.81
									0.00	3.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	H	John Carroll School	7-	17	-3.98
5/08	A	Milford Mill Academy	20-	1	4.52
5/10	A	Dundalk	20-	3	-4.36
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	148
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.95		Natl Power Rank	148
Natl SOS Rating	86.32		Natl SOS Rank	26
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	882
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	947
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3


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