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North Hunterdon Lions (9-10)

Region: NJ Indep

State: NJ

Coach: Amy Dalgewicz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Phillipsburg (15-5)	NJ Indep	73.4		L	4-	7		-0.125
4/05	NORTH WARREN (3-13)	NJ Indep	61.5		W	17-	2		0.025
4/07	MT. ST. MARY SG (4-12)	NJ CJ Lgn	64.3		W	13-	12		0.125
4/09	at Somerville (10-10)	NJ Indep	68.7		W	11-	7		0.300
4/14	DELAWARE VALLEY (1-18)	NJ Indep	58.4		W	20-	4		0.000
4/17	at Bernards (15-4)	NJ CJ Lgn	75.2		L	4-	13		-0.100
4/19	at Bridgewater-Raritan (22-2)	NJ CJ Cen	86.4	8	L	2-	16		0.000
4/21	VOORHEES (16-4)	NJ Indep	79.5		L	7-	20		-0.075
4/23	PHILLIPSBURG (15-5)	NJ Indep	73.4		L	8-	12		-0.225
4/25	at West Windsor-PB North (11-7)	NJ CJ Bdm	73.7		L	8-	17		-0.050
4/29	at North Warren (3-13)	NJ Indep	61.5		W	15-	6		0.125
5/01	at Mt. St. Mary SG (4-12)	NJ CJ Lgn	64.3		W	11-	10	2ot	0.225
5/05	NORTH WARREN (3-13)	NJ Indep	61.5		W	17-	3		0.025
5/06	SOMERVILLE (10-10)	NJ Indep	68.7		W	7-	6		0.225
5/08	at Delaware Valley (1-18)	NJ Indep	58.4		W	18-	7		0.075
5/12	at Hunterdon Central (12-8)	NJ CJ Cen	78.2		L	7-	19		0.000
5/13	BERNARDS (15-4)	NJ CJ Lgn	75.2		L	8-	11		-0.175
5/15	at Voorhees (16-4)	NJ Indep	79.5		L	8-	27		0.000
5/17	at Ridge, NJ (12-10)	NJ Indep	76.7		L	2-	20		0.000
			76.2						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Phillipsburg	4-	7	-3	-5		1.82	1.88
4/05	H	North Warren	17-	2	15	9	+++	-1.82	6.18
4/07	H	Mt. St. Mary SG	13-	12	1	5	–	-1.82	-3.99
4/09	A	Somerville	11-	7	4	-2	+++	1.82	6.46
4/14	H	Delaware Valley	20-	4	16	11	++	-1.82	4.88
4/17	A	Bernards	4-	13	-9	-6	–	1.82	-2.70
4/19	A	Bridgewater-Raritan	2-	16	-14	-15		1.82	1.41
4/21	H	Voorhees	7-	20	-13	-7	––	-1.82	-5.86
4/23	H	Phillipsburg	8-	12	-4	-1	–	-1.82	-2.75
4/25	A	West Windsor-PB North	8-	17	-9	-8		1.82	-1.25
4/29	A	North Warren	15-	6	9	5	+	1.82	3.81
5/01	A	Mt. St. Mary SG	11-	10	1	1		1.82	-0.36
5/05	H	North Warren	17-	3	14	9	++	-1.82	5.18
5/06	H	Somerville	7-	6	1	1		-1.82	-0.17
5/08	A	Delaware Valley	18-	7	11	7	+	1.82	3.51
5/12	A	Hunterdon Central	7-	19	-12	-11		1.82	-0.98
5/13	H	Bernards	8-	11	-3	-3		-1.82	-0.33
5/15	A	Voorhees	8-	27	-19	-11	–––	1.82	-8.23
5/17	A	Ridge, NJ	2-	20	-18	-11	–––	1.82	-6.70
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	North Warren	17-	2	-5.00
4/14	H	Delaware Valley	20-	4	-4.88
4/19	A	Bridgewater-Raritan	2-	16	-1.41
4/21	H	Voorhees	7-	20	3.00
5/05	H	North Warren	17-	3	-4.00
5/08	A	Delaware Valley	18-	7	-1.00
5/12	A	Hunterdon Central	7-	19	0.98
5/15	A	Voorhees	8-	27	8.23
5/17	A	Ridge, NJ	2-	20	6.70
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1145
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.55		Natl Power Rank	1145
Natl SOS Rating	69.71		Natl SOS Rank	459
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	565
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1074
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-13.3


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