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Norwich Free Acad Wildcats (7-8)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Eric Page

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Williams School (4-3)	NE	68.9			-
4/02	GUILFORD, CT (13-8)	CT Div 1	76.8		L	8-	17		-0.050
4/07	WATERFORD, CT (5-10)	CT Div 2	64.6		W	19-	9		0.125
4/11	at Ledyard (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		W	11-	9		0.150
4/17	STONINGTON (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	14-	5		0.250
4/18	at Fitch (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		W	10-	7		0.225
4/22	at St. Bernard, CT (11-6)	CT Div 2	72.2		L	7-	12		-0.175
4/25	FITCH (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		W	6-	2		0.175
4/26	at Old Lyme (15-4)	CT Div 2	74.6		L	11-	19		-0.125
4/29	at Woodstock Academy (1-11)	CT Div 2	60.0		W	13-	8		0.125
5/02	at Wheeler, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		L	8-	13		-0.250
5/06	at Stonington (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		L	7-	9		-0.225
5/09	EAST LYME (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		L	1-	12		0.000
5/13	LEDYARD (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		W	14-	12		0.100
5/17	at Cheshire HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		L	7-	15		-0.025
5/29	at South Windsor (11-6)	CT Div 1	78.1		L	4-	16		0.000
			65.9						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Guilford, CT	8-	17	-9	-8		-0.81	-1.33
4/07	H	Waterford, CT	19-	9	10	5	++	-0.81	5.25
4/11	A	Ledyard	11-	9	2	4	–	0.81	-2.07
4/17	H	Stonington	14-	5	9	0	+++	-0.81	8.75
4/18	A	Fitch	10-	7	3	1	+	0.81	2.09
4/22	A	St. Bernard, CT	7-	12	-5	-3		0.81	-1.91
4/25	H	Fitch	6-	2	4	3		-0.81	1.47
4/26	A	Old Lyme	11-	19	-8	-5	–	0.81	-3.03
4/29	A	Woodstock Academy	13-	8	5	5		0.81	-0.49
5/02	A	Wheeler, CT	8-	13	-5	0	––	0.81	-4.64
5/06	A	Stonington	7-	9	-2	-1		0.81	-0.63
5/09	H	East Lyme	1-	12	-11	-11		-0.81	0.04
5/13	H	Ledyard	14-	12	2	6	–	-0.81	-3.69
5/17	A	Cheshire HS	7-	15	-8	-9		0.81	1.01
5/29	A	South Windsor	4-	16	-12	-11		0.81	-0.82
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Waterford, CT	19-	9	0.00
5/09	H	East Lyme	1-	12	-0.04
5/29	A	South Windsor	4-	16	0.82
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	975
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.92		Natl Power Rank	975
Natl SOS Rating	53.98		Natl SOS Rank	1637
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	626
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1100
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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