| Conference: L1 | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: C. Rainson-Rose |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/27 | at Sayville (12-7) | NY B Sec 11 | 83.8 | 10 | W | 20- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/02 | at Longwood (3-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 68.9 | | W | 21- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/07 | SACHEM EAST (9-7) | NY A Sec 11 | 82.1 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/08 | COMMACK (8-9) | NY A Sec 11 | 80.0 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | WEST ISLIP (16-2) | NY A Sec 11 | 90.4 | 3 | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/16 | at West Babylon (15-5) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.2 | 6 | L | 12- | 14 | | -0.350 |
4/18 | WARD MELVILLE (9-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 83.4 | | W | 16- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/22 | at Massapequa (11-6) | NY A Sec 8 | 88.9 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.175 |
4/24 | SACHEM NORTH (8-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 81.3 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/30 | at Bay Shore (14-5) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.6 | 5 | W | 17- | 10 | | 0.175 |
5/02 | at Half Hollow Hills (5-12) | NY A Sec 11 | 72.5 | | W | 23- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/03 | vs. Rocky Point # (15-4) | NY B Sec 11 | 89.9 | 4 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.175 |
5/06 | at North Babylon (12-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.7 | 7 | W | 16- | 12 | | 0.100 |
5/10 | LINDENHURST (12-7) | NY A Sec 11 | 82.8 | | W | 18- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/14 | WILLIAM FLOYD (11-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 80.4 | | W | 21- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/16 | at East Islip (10-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 85.5 | 8 | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.475 |
5/20 | at Smithtown East (9-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 82.2 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/29 | WILLIAM FLOYD (11-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 80.4 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
6/01 | BAY SHORE (14-5) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.6 | 5 | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.125 |
6/03 | vs. West Babylon # (15-5) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.2 | 6 | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.150 |
6/11 | vs. Farmingdale # (17-3) | NY A Sec 8 | 93.1 | | L | 11- | 12 | 2ot | -0.250 |
| # Neutral site | | 83.5 | | | | | | -0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/27 | A | Sayville | 20- | 3 | 17 | 11 | +++ | 0.65 | 6.48 | |
4/02 | A | Longwood | 21- | 2 | 19 | 21 | | 0.65 | -1.72 | |
4/07 | H | Sachem East | 18- | 5 | 13 | 13 | | -0.65 | 0.34 | |
4/08 | H | Commack | 15- | 3 | 12 | 13 | | -0.65 | -1.43 | |
4/10 | H | West Islip | 15- | 7 | 8 | 7 | | -0.65 | 1.18 | |
4/16 | A | West Babylon | 12- | 14 | -2 | 4 | –– | 0.65 | -5.78 | |
4/18 | H | Ward Melville | 16- | 6 | 10 | 11 | | -0.65 | -0.55 | |
4/22 | A | Massapequa | 13- | 9 | 4 | 3 | | 0.80 | | 0.66 |
4/24 | H | Sachem North | 17- | 4 | 13 | 14 | | -0.65 | -0.63 | |
4/30 | A | Bay Shore | 17- | 10 | 7 | 3 | + | 0.65 | 3.73 | |
5/02 | A | Half Hollow Hills | 23- | 1 | 22 | 19 | + | 0.65 | 3.29 | |
5/03 | N | Rocky Point | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.68 | |
5/06 | A | North Babylon | 16- | 12 | 4 | 6 | | 0.65 | -1.55 | |
5/10 | H | Lindenhurst | 18- | 7 | 11 | 13 | | -0.65 | -1.90 | |
5/14 | H | William Floyd | 21- | 2 | 19 | 16 | + | -0.65 | 2.76 | |
5/16 | A | East Islip | 10- | 11 | -1 | 9 | ––– | 0.65 | -9.83 | |
5/20 | A | Smithtown East | 14- | 7 | 7 | 10 | – | 0.65 | -2.83 | |
5/29 | H | William Floyd | 19- | 2 | 17 | 16 | | -0.65 | 0.76 | |
6/01 | H | Bay Shore | 12- | 9 | 3 | 5 | | -0.65 | -1.56 | |
6/03 | N | West Babylon | 14- | 5 | 9 | 4 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.57 | |
6/11 | N | Farmingdale | 11- | 12 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | | -0.87 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/27 | A | Sayville | 20- | 3 | -6.48 |
4/02 | A | Longwood | 21- | 2 | 1.72 |
4/07 | H | Sachem East | 18- | 5 | -0.34 |
4/08 | H | Commack | 15- | 3 | 1.43 |
4/18 | H | Ward Melville | 16- | 6 | 0.55 |
4/24 | H | Sachem North | 17- | 4 | 0.63 |
5/02 | A | Half Hollow Hills | 23- | 1 | -3.29 |
5/10 | H | Lindenhurst | 18- | 7 | 1.90 |
5/14 | H | William Floyd | 21- | 2 | -2.76 |
5/29 | H | William Floyd | 19- | 2 | -0.76 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.35 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 191. | | Natl CCR Rank | 12 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 98. | | Natl Poll Rank | 12 |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.00 | | Natl Power Rank | 10 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.63 | | Natl SOS Rank | 47 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1327 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.86 | | W-L Pct Rank | 134 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 5.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 15-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 9.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.7 |
| 
