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North Tonawanda Lumberjacks (0-12)

Conference: ECICRegion: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Brandon Schmitt

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Williamsville East (1-9)NY B Sec 665.4-    
4/03at Lake Shore (16-3)NY B Sec 677.46L1-19 0.000  
4/04GRAND ISLAND (1-11)NY B Sec 662.6-    
4/07CLARENCE (8-11)NY A Sec 670.5L1-16 -0.050  
4/10LAKE SHORE (16-3)NY B Sec 677.46L4-17 0.000  
4/11LANCASTER, NY (20-3)NY A Sec 683.51L1-16 0.000  
4/23ORCHARD PARK (16-4)NY A Sec 679.43L2-20 0.000  
4/26FRONTIER (8-9)NY A Sec 672.610L2-15 0.000  
4/28LOCKPORT (1-11)NY A Sec 664.7-    
4/30at Williamsville North (8-7)NY A Sec 673.68L1-11 0.000  
5/01at Lancaster, NY (20-3)NY A Sec 683.51L2-17 0.000  
5/02at Clarence (8-11)NY A Sec 670.5L4-15 0.000  
5/06at Orchard Park (16-4)NY A Sec 679.43L0-16 0.000  
5/12at Frontier (8-9)NY A Sec 672.610L3-14 0.000  
5/14at Lockport (1-11)NY A Sec 664.7-    
5/15WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-7)NY A Sec 673.68-    
5/28at Lancaster, NY (20-3)NY A Sec 683.51L1-19 0.000  
 75.8     -0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03ALake Shore1-19-18   -15       –1.72       -3.07
4/07HClarence1-16-15   -8       –––-1.72       -7.06
4/10HLake Shore4-17-13   -11       -1.72       -1.51
4/11HLancaster, NY1-16-15   -18       +-1.72       2.80
4/23HOrchard Park2-20-18   -14       ––-1.72       -4.01
4/26HFrontier2-15-13   -10       –-1.72       -3.26
4/30AWilliamsville North1-11-10   -13       +1.72       2.63
5/01ALancaster, NY2-17-15   -21       +++1.72       6.24
5/02AClarence4-15-11   -11       1.72       0.38
5/06AOrchard Park0-16-16   -17       1.72       1.44
5/12AFrontier3-14-11   -13       +1.72       2.18
5/28ALancaster, NY1-19-18   -21       +1.72       3.24
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03ALake Shore1-193.07
4/07HClarence1-165.00
4/10HLake Shore4-171.51
4/11HLancaster, NY1-16-2.80
4/23HOrchard Park2-204.01
4/26HFrontier2-153.00
4/30AWilliamsville North1-11-2.63
5/01ALancaster, NY2-17-6.24
5/02AClarence4-15-0.38
5/06AOrchard Park0-16-1.44
5/12AFrontier3-14-2.18
5/28ALancaster, NY1-19-3.24
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 60.   Natl CCR Rank 1791
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 59.76   Natl Power Rank 1791
Natl SOS Rating 68.61   Natl SOS Rank 508
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1223
W-L Pct Rating 0.00   W-L Pct Rank 2150
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 0-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -14.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -16.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-12   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -15.0



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