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Novato Hornets (4-9)

Region: CA MCALState: CACoach: P. Breckenridge

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/20MARIN CATHOLIC (13-9)CA MCAL73.5L3-18 -0.025  
3/01OAK RIDGE (11-5)CA Indep70.1L6-11 -0.150  
3/05at Berkeley (17-7)CA BSAL75.6L3-15 0.000  
3/11BISHOP O'DOWD (3-13)CA BSAL64.6W10- 6 0.300  
3/13at Dublin, CA (5-13)CA DFAL65.4L4- 6 -0.175  
3/18at Clayton Valley (6-13)CA BSAL66.9L4-16 -0.100  
3/29BELLA VISTA (10-8)CA SJS67.1W11- 9 0.300  
4/01at St. Francis, CA (16-0)CA SJS76.78L1-11 0.000  
4/04at Tamalpais (0-8)CA MCAL61.5W8- 5 0.275  
4/16SIR FRANCIS DRAKE (0-6)CA MCAL51.7W23- 0 0.000  
4/18REDWOOD (12-7)CA MCAL75.810L2-18 0.000  
4/23SONOMA ACADEMY (1-6)CA MCAL62.9-    
4/25at University HS, SF (10-10)CA MCAL71.5L5-18 -0.050  
4/30at San Marin (0-6)CA MCAL63.5-    
5/02MARIN CATHOLIC (13-9)CA MCAL73.5L1-20 -0.025  
 68.6     0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/20HMarin Catholic3-18-15   -9       ––-1.04       -5.53
3/01HOak Ridge6-11-5   -4       -1.04       -0.83
3/05ABerkeley3-15-12   -13       1.04       1.03
3/11HBishop O'Dowd10-64   -2       +++-1.04       6.02
3/13ADublin, CA4-6-2   -3       1.04       1.09
3/18AClayton Valley4-16-12   -6       –––1.04       -6.42
3/29HBella Vista11-92   -2       ++-1.04       4.04
4/01ASt. Francis, CA1-11-10   -13       +1.04       2.97
4/04ATamalpais8-53   -1       +1.04       3.99
4/16HSir Francis Drake23-023   12       +++-1.04       11.35
4/18HRedwood2-18-16   -12       -1.04       -3.54
4/25AUniversity HS, SF5-18-13   -8       ––1.04       -4.64
5/02HMarin Catholic1-20-19   -9       –––-1.04       -9.53
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/20HMarin Catholic3-185.00
3/05ABerkeley3-15-1.03
3/18AClayton Valley4-162.00
4/01ASt. Francis, CA1-11-2.97
4/16HSir Francis Drake23-011.35
4/18HRedwood2-183.54
4/25AUniversity HS, SF5-183.00
5/02HMarin Catholic1-209.00
10-goal correction: 0.55

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 64.   Natl CCR Rank 1504
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 64.23   Natl Power Rank 1504
Natl SOS Rating 57.79   Natl SOS Rank 1307
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 581
W-L Pct Rating 0.31   W-L Pct Rank 1469
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -16.0



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