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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Norwalk Bears (5-10 - 1)

Region: CT Div 2State: CTCoach: Al Morgenthaler

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/02at Fairfield Ludlowe (3-13)CT Div 272.2L8-17 -0.225  
4/04DANBURY (16-5)CT Div 281.37L6-18 -0.025  
4/08BRIEN MCMAHON (11-6)CT Div 179.89L4-16 -0.025  
4/10at Greenwich HS (14-4)CT Div 183.13L7-18 0.000  
4/17at Wilton (18-4)CT Div 184.22L4-16 0.000  
4/18TRUMBULL (6-10)CT Div 273.9W11- 4 0.300  
4/22at Darien (17-4)CT Div 186.41L3-20 0.000  
4/24FAIRFIELD LUDLOWE (3-13)CT Div 272.2W17-12 0.250  
4/26HOUSATONIC REGIONAL (1-12)CT Div 258.1W18- 4 0.000  
4/30ST. JOSEPH, CT (5-11)CT Div 272.3W16-10 0.225  
5/02STAPLES (7-9)CT Div 274.5L13-15 -0.250  
5/06FAIRFIELD WARDE (7-9)CT Div 175.8L12-16 -0.175  
5/10at Staples (7-9)CT Div 274.5T12-122ot0.000  
5/13at New Canaan (16-5)CT Div 183.14L7-20 0.000  
5/16at Ridgefield (5-11)CT Div 273.2L10-21 -0.175  
5/21at Shelton (0-16)CT Div 260.5W18-12 0.000  
 72.6     -0.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02AFairfield Ludlowe8-17-9   -1       –––0.81       -7.83
4/04HDanbury6-18-12   -9       -0.81       -2.67
4/08HBrien McMahon4-16-12   -9       -0.81       -3.30
4/10AGreenwich HS7-18-11   -14       +0.81       3.08
4/17AWilton4-16-12   -15       +0.81       3.39
4/18HTrumbull11-47   -2       +++-0.81       8.57
4/22ADarien3-20-17   -19       0.81       1.54
4/24HFairfield Ludlowe17-125   0       ++-0.81       4.55
4/26HHousatonic Regional18-414   15       -0.81       -1.40
4/30HSt. Joseph, CT16-106   1       ++-0.81       5.07
5/02HStaples13-15-2   0       -0.81       -2.10
5/06HFairfield Warde12-16-4   -3       -0.81       -1.27
5/10AStaples12-120   -2       0.81       1.52
5/13ANew Canaan7-20-13   -16       +0.81       2.79
5/16ARidgefield10-21-11   -3       –––0.81       -8.31
5/21AShelton18-126   10       0.81       -3.63
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/04HDanbury6-182.00
4/08HBrien McMahon4-162.00
4/10AGreenwich HS7-18-3.08
4/17AWilton4-16-3.39
4/22ADarien3-20-1.54
4/26HHousatonic Regional18-41.40
5/13ANew Canaan7-20-2.79
5/16ARidgefield10-211.00
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 802
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.30   Natl Power Rank 802
Natl SOS Rating 64.48   Natl SOS Rank 791
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 1288
W-L Pct Rating 0.34   W-L Pct Rank 1401
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -12.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.0



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