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Norfolk Collegiate Oaks (6-12)

Region: VA TCIS

State: VA

Coach: M. Woodruff

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	FRANK COX (5-3)	VA HRLAX	67.6		W	9-	6		0.100
3/14	at Maury (5-6)	VA HRLAX	70.8		L	5-	13		-0.125
3/20	at Bishop Sullivan (10-7)	VA TCIS	74.8		L	2-	14		0.000
3/20	COLLEGIATE SCHOOL (19-2)	VA LIS	88.3	1	L	3-	17		0.000
3/25	NANSEMOND-SUFFOLK ACAD (5-7)	VA TCIS	72.2		L	6-	12		-0.200
3/26	vs. Williamsburg # (4-2)	VA HRLAX	64.2		W	15-	2		0.025
3/29	TRINITY EPISCOPAL (12-5)	VA LIS	74.2		L	3-	7		-0.175
4/03	BISHOP SULLIVAN (10-7)	VA TCIS	74.8		L	8-	15		-0.100
4/05	at St. Anne's-Belfield (14-7)	VA LIS	78.0		L	2-	14		0.000
4/10	MAURY (5-6)	VA HRLAX	70.8		W	17-	5		0.275
4/15	at Norfolk Academy (6-9)	VA LIS	73.2		L	2-	15		-0.025
4/18	CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (13-3)	VA TCIS	79.6	10	L	5-	12		-0.075
4/24	NANSEMOND-SUFFOLK ACAD (5-7)	VA TCIS	72.2		L	7-	9		-0.200
4/25	vs. Potomac HS # (1-4)	VA NW AAA	65.4		W	12-	3		0.125
4/26	at Foxcroft School (7-5)	DC ISL AA	73.7		L	3-	11		-0.075
4/29	PRINCESS ANNE (4-7)	VA HRLAX	58.7		W	14-	2		0.000
5/01	at Steward School (4-8)	VA LIS	67.8		W	7-	5		0.275
5/06	at Bishop Sullivan (10-7)	VA TCIS	74.8		L	7-	17		0.000
# Neutral site			74.7						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Frank Cox	9-	6	3	6	–	-2.28	-3.28
3/14	A	Maury	5-	13	-8	-5	–	2.28	-2.74
3/20	A	Bishop Sullivan	2-	14	-12	-10		2.28	-1.70
3/20	H	Collegiate School	3-	17	-14	-14		-2.28	0.19
3/25	H	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	6-	12	-6	-2	–	-2.28	-3.83
3/26	N	Williamsburg	15-	2	13	9	+	0.00	3.70
3/29	H	Trinity Episcopal	3-	7	-4	-3		-2.28	-1.33
4/03	H	Bishop Sullivan	8-	15	-7	-6		-2.28	-1.26
4/05	A	St. Anne's-Belfield	2-	14	-12	-11		2.28	-1.41
4/10	H	Maury	17-	5	12	-1	+++	-2.28	12.70
4/15	A	Norfolk Academy	2-	15	-13	-9	––	2.28	-4.49
4/18	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	5-	12	-7	-7		-2.28	-0.35
4/24	H	Nansemond-Suffolk Acad	7-	9	-2	-2		-2.28	0.17
4/25	N	Potomac HS	12-	3	9	5	++	0.00	4.43
4/26	A	Foxcroft School	3-	11	-8	-7		2.17		-0.92
4/29	H	Princess Anne	14-	2	12	16	––	-2.28	-4.16
5/01	A	Steward School	7-	5	2	-1	+	2.28	3.06
5/06	A	Bishop Sullivan	7-	17	-10	-10		2.28	0.30
									0.00	-0.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	Bishop Sullivan	2-	14	2.00
3/20	H	Collegiate School	3-	17	-0.19
3/26	N	Williamsburg	15-	2	-3.00
4/05	A	St. Anne's-Belfield	2-	14	1.41
4/10	H	Maury	17-	5	0.00
4/15	A	Norfolk Academy	2-	15	3.00
4/29	H	Princess Anne	14-	2	4.16
5/06	A	Bishop Sullivan	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1106
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.76		Natl Power Rank	1106
Natl SOS Rating	67.19		Natl SOS Rank	592
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1419
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1441
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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