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North Reading Hornets (3-10)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Coach: Ann Brophy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Austin Prep (7-9)	MA No D2	54.1		W	16-	2		0.125
4/03	GEORGETOWN, MA (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2		L	7-	10		-0.150
4/07	at Pentucket Regional (11-9)	MA No D2	68.1		L	15-	23		-0.125
4/10	MASCONOMET (14-4)	MA No D1	78.1		L	6-	18		-0.025
4/14	at Hamilton-Wenham (6-8)	MA No D2	67.9		L	12-	16		-0.150
4/16	NEWBURYPORT (1-12)	MA No D2	56.7		W	13-	12		0.175
4/18	at Ipswich (8-8)	MA No D2	69.3		L	8-	16		-0.100
4/28	NORTH ANDOVER (20-2)	MA No D2	79.5		L	10-	13		-0.075
5/01	at Triton, MA (12-7)	MA No D2	70.4		L	6-	12		-0.150
5/05	MANCHESTER-ESSEX (6-8)	MA No D2	68.0		L	11-	18		-0.175
5/07	at Wilmington (0-12)	MA No D2	50.5			-
5/09	at Manchester-Essex (6-8)	MA No D2	68.0		L	7-	17		-0.150
5/12	IPSWICH (8-8)	MA No D2	69.3			-
5/15	WILMINGTON (0-12)	MA No D2	50.5		W	22-	8		0.100
5/20	at Georgetown, MA (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2			-
5/22	TRITON, MA (12-7)	MA No D2	70.4		L	8-	12		-0.175
			74.0						-0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Austin Prep	16-	2	14	5	+++	0.92	8.98
4/03	H	Georgetown, MA	7-	10	-3	-4		-0.92	1.22
4/07	A	Pentucket Regional	15-	23	-8	-5	–	0.92	-3.06
4/10	H	Masconomet	6-	18	-12	-9	–	-0.92	-2.87
4/14	A	Hamilton-Wenham	12-	16	-4	-4		0.92	0.48
4/16	H	Newburyport	13-	12	1	3		-0.92	-1.83
4/18	A	Ipswich	8-	16	-8	-6		0.92	-1.95
4/28	H	North Andover	10-	13	-3	-7	++	-0.92	4.34
5/01	A	Triton, MA	6-	12	-6	-4		0.92	-1.56
5/05	H	Manchester-Essex	11-	18	-7	-3	––	-0.92	-4.41
5/09	A	Manchester-Essex	7-	17	-10	-4	––	0.92	-5.58
5/15	H	Wilmington	22-	8	14	6	+++	-0.92	7.62
5/22	H	Triton, MA	8-	12	-4	-3		-0.92	-1.39
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Austin Prep	16-	2	-4.00
4/10	H	Masconomet	6-	18	2.00
5/09	A	Manchester-Essex	7-	17	0.00
5/15	H	Wilmington	22-	8	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	59.		Natl CCR Rank	1808
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	59.78		Natl Power Rank	1808
Natl SOS Rating	65.74		Natl SOS Rank	689
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	2193
W-L Pct Rating	0.23		W-L Pct Rank	1647
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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