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Northwest Catholic Tomahawks (17-2)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Jill Mullady

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	HAMDEN (12-7)	CT Div 1	74.5		W	10-	7		0.175
4/08	CONARD (9-8)	CT Div 1	75.9		W	10-	9		0.250
4/09	FARMINGTON, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	12-	7		0.100
4/19	at Fitch (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		W	8-	2		0.025
4/22	at Morgan School (11-5)	CT Div 2	72.5		W	14-	6		0.125
4/30	at Farmington, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	8-	7		0.150
5/02	at Granby Memorial (10-7)	CT Div 1	72.1		W	13-	5		0.125
5/03	SIMSBURY (5-8)	CT Div 1	72.9		W	6-	5	ot	0.150
5/05	at Windsor (3-13)	CT Div 2	67.9		W	14-	7		0.075
5/08	at East Catholic (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.2		W	17-	6		0.000
5/09	at Hall, West Hartford (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	5-	11		-0.025
5/10	EAST CATHOLIC (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.2		W	8-	5		0.000
5/12	NEWINGTON (4-11)	CT Div 2	69.7		W	13-	6		0.050
5/19	NEWINGTON (4-11)	CT Div 2	69.7		W	13-	3		0.050
5/21	SUFFIELD HS (17-3)	CT Div 2	77.8		W	9-	8		0.300
5/22	MORGAN SCHOOL (11-5)	CT Div 2	72.5		W	12-	5		0.075
5/31	STAPLES (7-9)	CT Div 2	74.5		W	12-	6		0.150
6/02	POMPERAUG (11-7)	CT Div 2	73.4		W	12-	8		0.150
6/04	vs. Danbury # (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	L	7-	9		-0.075
# Neutral site			68.0						1.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Hamden	10-	7	3	3		-0.81	-0.36
4/08	H	Conard	10-	9	1	0		-0.81	0.59
4/09	H	Farmington, CT	12-	7	5	6		-0.81	-1.09
4/19	A	Fitch	8-	2	6	9	–	0.81	-2.89
4/22	A	Morgan School	14-	6	8	5	+	0.81	2.96
4/30	A	Farmington, CT	8-	7	1	4	–	0.81	-3.47
5/02	A	Granby Memorial	13-	5	8	5	+	0.81	3.03
5/03	H	Simsbury	6-	5	1	4	–	-0.81	-3.04
5/05	A	Windsor	14-	7	7	7		0.81	-0.10
5/08	A	East Catholic	17-	6	11	11		0.81	-0.43
5/09	A	Hall, West Hartford	5-	11	-6	-9	+	0.81	3.26
5/10	H	East Catholic	8-	5	3	13	–––	-0.81	10.04
5/12	H	Newington	13-	6	7	8		-0.81	-0.88
5/19	H	Newington	13-	3	10	8	+	-0.81	2.12
5/21	H	Suffield HS	9-	8	1	-2	+	-0.81	2.55
5/22	H	Morgan School	12-	5	7	7		-0.81	0.34
5/31	H	Staples	12-	6	6	4	+	-0.81	2.37
6/02	H	Pomperaug	12-	8	4	4		-0.81	0.49
6/04	N	Danbury	7-	9	-2	-7	++	0.00	4.60
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/08	A	East Catholic	17-	6	0.43
5/19	H	Newington	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	366
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.16		Natl Power Rank	366
Natl SOS Rating	56.74		Natl SOS Rank	1374
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	28
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	86
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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