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Oakton Cougars (11-5)

Region: VA CncrdState: VACoach: Jean Counts

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/26at Herndon (5-6)VA Cncrd76.6W10- 5 0.125  
3/28FAIRFAX (3-8)VA Cncrd68.0W25- 6 0.000  
4/01at Westfield, VA (12-6)VA Cncrd79.3L10-14 -0.325  
4/11CENTREVILLE (2-8)VA Cncrd66.9W21- 1 0.000  
4/18ROBINSON SECONDARY (12-4)VA Cncrd82.66L10-14 -0.375  
4/22at Chantilly (17-3)VA Cncrd85.92L8- 9 -0.225  
4/25at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (26-0)DC ISL A98.7L0-15 0.000  
4/28STONE RIDGE CDS (4-11)DC ISL A74.9-    
5/01HERNDON (5-6)VA Cncrd76.6W15- 7 0.025  
5/05at Chantilly (17-3)VA Cncrd85.92L7- 8 -0.225  
5/13at Yorktown, VA (11-5)VA Natl72.2W21- 4 0.000  
5/15WEST SPRINGFIELD, VA (10-6)VA Pat75.1W18- 6 0.000  
5/19at W.T. Woodson (11-5)VA Lbrty79.5W11- 5 0.200  
5/21vs. Chantilly # (17-3)VA Cncrd85.92W14-12 0.225  
5/31FOREST PARK (8-8)VA NW AAA68.7W27- 5 0.000  
6/05vs. Loudoun Valley # (16-5)VA NW AAA80.88W12-10 0.125  
6/07vs. Chantilly # (17-3)VA Cncrd85.92W20-11 1.225  
# Neutral site 81.4     0.77  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26AHerndon10-55   5       2.28       0.10
3/28HFairfax25-619   19       -2.28       -0.37
4/01AWestfield, VA10-14-4   3       –––2.28       -7.17
4/11HCentreville21-120   20       -2.28       0.29
4/18HRobinson Secondary10-14-4   5       –––-2.28       -9.18
4/22AChantilly8-9-1   -1       2.28       0.18
4/25ASts. Stephen's & Agnes0-15-15   -16       2.17       0.75
5/01HHerndon15-78   9       -2.28       -1.46
5/05AChantilly7-8-1   -1       2.28       0.18
5/13AYorktown, VA21-417   12       ++2.28       5.27
5/15HWest Springfield, VA18-612   12       -2.28       0.31
5/19AW.T. Woodson11-56   2       +2.28       3.54
5/21NChantilly14-122   1       0.00       0.90
5/31HForest Park27-522   20       +-2.28       2.02
6/05NLoudoun Valley12-102   5       0.00       -2.52
6/07NChantilly20-119   1       +++0.00       7.90
         0.000.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/28HFairfax25-60.37
4/11HCentreville21-1-0.29
4/25ASts. Stephen's & Agnes0-15-0.75
5/13AYorktown, VA21-4-5.27
5/15HWest Springfield, VA18-6-0.31
5/31HForest Park27-5-2.02
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 109
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 85.08   Natl Power Rank 109
Natl SOS Rating 79.24   Natl SOS Rank 103
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.77   Natl Quality Win Rank 271
W-L Pct Rating 0.69   W-L Pct Rank 504
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 11.0



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