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Oliver Ames Tigers (12-9)

Region: MA So D2

State: MA

Coach: Britt Sellmeyer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at King Philip (17-3)	MA So D1	81.9	8	L	2-	14		0.000
3/31	FAIRHAVEN (2-13)	MA So D2	47.5		W	20-	8		0.000
4/02	CANTON, MA (6-11)	MA So D2	60.8		W	10-	4		0.150
4/07	MEDWAY (11-8)	MA So D2	71.9		L	6-	18		-0.150
4/09	MANSFIELD (16-6)	MA So D2	75.6		L	9-	16		-0.075
4/11	at Sharon (3-11)	MA So D1	50.6		W	13-	10		0.150
4/16	at Franklin, MA (15-6)	MA So D2	75.5		L	5-	9		-0.050
4/18	NORTH ATTLEBORO (1-13)	MA So D1	48.0		W	16-	3		0.000
4/23	KING PHILIP (17-3)	MA So D1	81.9	8	L	3-	14		0.000
4/25	at Medway (11-8)	MA So D2	71.9		L	12-	22		-0.100
4/30	at Canton, MA (6-11)	MA So D2	60.8		W	12-	10		0.200
5/02	FOXBOROUGH (4-11)	MA So D2	51.8		W	15-	9		0.075
5/05	at Bridgewater-Raynham (4-2)	MA Indep	52.5		W	17-	7		0.075
5/06	at Fairhaven (2-13)	MA So D2	47.5		W	13-	7		0.000
5/07	at Mansfield (16-6)	MA So D2	75.6		L	3-	15		-0.025
5/08	SHARON (3-11)	MA So D1	50.6		W	16-	7		0.100
5/13	FRANKLIN, MA (15-6)	MA So D2	75.5		L	6-	10		-0.100
5/14	BRIDGEWATER-RAYNHAM (4-2)	MA Indep	52.5		W	14-	7		0.050
5/15	at North Attleboro (1-13)	MA So D1	48.0		W	15-	5		0.050
5/19	at Foxborough (4-11)	MA So D2	51.8		W	16-	7		0.125
5/27	MEDFIELD (10-10)	MA So D2	73.3		L	8-	16		-0.100
			70.8						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	King Philip	2-	14	-12	-13		0.92	1.48
3/31	H	Fairhaven	20-	8	12	13		-0.92	-0.79
4/02	H	Canton, MA	10-	4	6	4	+	-0.92	2.46
4/07	H	Medway	6-	18	-12	-4	–––	-0.92	-7.68
4/09	H	Mansfield	9-	16	-7	-7		-0.92	-0.10
4/11	A	Sharon	13-	10	3	4		0.92	-0.80
4/16	A	Franklin, MA	5-	9	-4	-8	+	0.92	3.58
4/18	H	North Attleboro	16-	3	13	10	+	-0.92	3.23
4/23	H	King Philip	3-	14	-11	-12		-0.92	0.65
4/25	A	Medway	12-	22	-10	-6	–	0.92	-3.85
4/30	A	Canton, MA	12-	10	2	2		0.92	0.29
5/02	H	Foxborough	15-	9	6	7		-0.92	-0.92
5/05	A	Bridgewater-Raynham	17-	7	10	7	+	0.92	3.44
5/06	A	Fairhaven	13-	7	6	11	––	0.92	-4.96
5/07	A	Mansfield	3-	15	-12	-9	–	0.92	-3.27
5/08	H	Sharon	16-	7	9	6	+	-0.92	3.37
5/13	H	Franklin, MA	6-	10	-4	-6		-0.92	1.75
5/14	H	Bridgewater-Raynham	14-	7	7	8		-0.92	-1.39
5/15	A	North Attleboro	15-	5	10	8	+	0.92	2.06
5/19	A	Foxborough	16-	7	9	5	+	0.92	3.91
5/27	H	Medfield	8-	16	-8	-6	–	-0.92	-2.49
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	King Philip	2-	14	-1.48
3/31	H	Fairhaven	20-	8	0.79
4/07	H	Medway	6-	18	2.00
4/18	H	North Attleboro	16-	3	-3.23
4/23	H	King Philip	3-	14	-0.65
4/25	A	Medway	12-	22	0.00
5/05	A	Bridgewater-Raynham	17-	7	0.00
5/07	A	Mansfield	3-	15	2.00
5/15	A	North Attleboro	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1490
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.54		Natl Power Rank	1490
Natl SOS Rating	61.52		Natl SOS Rank	1014
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	555
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	816
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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