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Old Mill Patriots (4-10)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Jason Semanoff

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at North Carroll (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2			-
3/22	vs. Urbana # (9-6)	MD 3A	81.9		L	9-	10		-0.150
3/24	vs. Queen Anne's County # (10-7)	MD 2A	78.8		L	10-	11		-0.275
3/25	at South River (14-3)	MD 4A	89.1	6	L	5-	18		0.000
4/01	GLEN BURNIE (2-10)	MD 4A	72.4		W	19-	4		0.000
4/07	NORTH COUNTY (1-11)	MD 4A	70.9		W	20-	5		0.000
4/08	at Meade (1-12)	MD 4A	70.0		W	18-	6		0.025
4/11	ARUNDEL (11-5)	MD 4A	85.0		L	9-	16		-0.100
4/15	BROADNECK (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	L	4-	18		0.000
4/18	at Chesapeake, AA County (8-7)	MD 4A	79.5		L	7-	12		-0.200
4/22	SOUTHERN, ANNE ARUNDEL (9-7)	MD 2A	79.5		L	7-	8		-0.275
4/25	at Annapolis (11-6)	MD 3A	82.9		L	9-	14		-0.075
4/29	SEVERNA PARK (20-0)	MD 3A	98.0	1	L	0-	22		0.000
5/01	at Northeast (3-10)	MD 3A	74.9		W	14-	9		0.150
5/08	at South River (14-3)	MD 4A	89.1	6	L	3-	14		0.000
# Neutral site			82.0						-0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Urbana	9-	10	-1	-4	+	0.00	3.01
3/24	N	Queen Anne's County	10-	11	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.46
3/25	A	South River	5-	18	-13	-11	–	0.99	-2.13
4/01	H	Glen Burnie	19-	4	15	10	++	-0.99	5.40
4/07	H	North County	20-	5	15	11	++	-0.99	4.03
4/08	A	Meade	18-	6	12	9	+	0.99	2.68
4/11	H	Arundel	9-	16	-7	-6		-0.99	-1.26
4/15	H	Broadneck	4-	18	-14	-12		-0.99	-1.76
4/18	A	Chesapeake, AA County	7-	12	-5	-2	–	0.99	-3.38
4/22	H	Southern, Anne Arundel	7-	8	-1	1	–	-0.99	-2.26
4/25	A	Annapolis	9-	14	-5	-7		0.99	1.63
4/29	H	Severna Park	0-	22	-22	-17	––	-0.99	-4.71
5/01	A	Northeast	14-	9	5	4		0.99	1.35
5/08	A	South River	3-	14	-11	-11		0.99	-0.13
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	South River	5-	18	2.13
4/01	H	Glen Burnie	19-	4	-5.40
4/07	H	North County	20-	5	-4.03
4/08	A	Meade	18-	6	-2.00
4/15	H	Broadneck	4-	18	1.76
4/29	H	Severna Park	0-	22	4.71
5/08	A	South River	3-	14	0.13
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	400
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.70		Natl Power Rank	400
Natl SOS Rating	80.16		Natl SOS Rank	81
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	2201
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1522
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.3


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