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Orchard Park Quakers (16-4)

Conference: ECIC

Region: NY A Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Bridget Callahan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Clarence (8-11)	NY A Sec 6	70.5		W	11-	7		0.150
4/07	WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-7)	NY A Sec 6	73.6	8	W	13-	6		0.075
4/10	WEST SENECA WEST (10-7)	NY A Sec 6	73.0	9	W	11-	6		0.075
4/21	NICHOLS SCHOOL (10-6)	NY Club	73.7	7	W	12-	3		0.075
4/23	at North Tonawanda (0-12)	NY A Sec 6	59.8		W	20-	2		0.000
4/25	LANCASTER, NY (20-3)	NY A Sec 6	83.5	1	L	9-	13		-0.200
4/28	FRONTIER (8-9)	NY A Sec 6	72.6	10	W	12-	3		0.100
4/29	at East Aurora (14-5)	NY C Sec 6	78.4	4	L	7-	13		-0.225
4/30	at Lockport (1-11)	NY A Sec 6	64.7		W	16-	1		0.050
5/02	at Williamsville North (8-7)	NY A Sec 6	73.6	8	W	10-	8		0.175
5/05	CLARENCE (8-11)	NY A Sec 6	70.5		W	16-	10		0.050
5/06	NORTH TONAWANDA (0-12)	NY A Sec 6	59.8		W	16-	0		0.000
5/12	at Lancaster, NY (20-3)	NY A Sec 6	83.5	1	L	7-	16		-0.100
5/14	at Frontier (8-9)	NY A Sec 6	72.6	10	W	14-	9		0.175
5/16	LOCKPORT (1-11)	NY A Sec 6	64.7		W	16-	4		0.000
5/19	WEBSTER THOMAS (9-9)	NY B Sec 5	79.7		W	7-	6		0.225
5/28	LOCKPORT (1-11)	NY A Sec 6	64.7		W	16-	4		0.000
5/30	WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-7)	NY A Sec 6	73.6	8	W	12-	6		0.075
6/02	EAST AURORA (14-5)	NY C Sec 6	78.4	4	W	14-	10		0.175
6/04	vs. Lancaster, NY # (20-3)	NY A Sec 6	83.5	1	L	6-	13		-0.150
# Neutral site			74.7						0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Clarence	11-	7	4	4		1.72	-0.34
4/07	H	Williamsville North	13-	6	7	7		-1.72	0.47
4/10	H	West Seneca West	11-	6	5	7	–	-1.72	-2.07
4/21	H	Nichols School	12-	3	9	7	+	-1.72	2.21
4/23	A	North Tonawanda	20-	2	18	14	++	1.72	4.01
4/25	H	Lancaster, NY	9-	13	-4	-2		-1.72	-1.92
4/28	H	Frontier	12-	3	9	6	+	-1.72	3.02
4/29	A	East Aurora	7-	13	-6	-1	––	1.72	-5.37
4/30	A	Lockport	16-	1	15	8	+++	1.72	6.90
5/02	A	Williamsville North	10-	8	2	3		1.72	-1.08
5/05	H	Clarence	16-	10	6	8		-1.72	-1.78
5/06	H	North Tonawanda	16-	0	16	17		-1.72	-1.44
5/12	A	Lancaster, NY	7-	16	-9	-6	–	1.72	-3.47
5/14	A	Frontier	14-	9	5	3	+	1.72	2.46
5/16	H	Lockport	16-	4	12	12		-1.72	0.46
5/19	H	Webster Thomas	7-	6	1	1		-1.25		0.11
5/28	H	Lockport	16-	4	12	12		-1.72	0.46
5/30	H	Williamsville North	12-	6	6	7		-1.72	-0.53
6/02	H	East Aurora	14-	10	4	3		-1.72	1.19
6/04	N	Lancaster, NY	6-	13	-7	-4	–	0.00	-3.20
									0.00	0.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	North Tonawanda	20-	2	-4.01
4/30	A	Lockport	16-	1	-5.00
5/06	H	North Tonawanda	16-	0	1.44
5/16	H	Lockport	16-	4	-0.46
5/28	H	Lockport	16-	4	-0.46
10-goal correction: -0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	299
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.37		Natl Power Rank	299
Natl SOS Rating	67.43		Natl SOS Rank	575
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	297
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	232
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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