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Overland Trailblazers (3-9)

Region: CO Centen

State: CO

Coach: Mary Kaminski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	at Thomas Jefferson-South (1-9)	CO Metro	57.3		L	6-	8		-0.175
3/08	PINE CREEK (12-3)	CO Southn	76.9		L	3-	13		0.000
3/10	PALMER (7-8)	CO Southn	68.2		L	3-	16		0.000
3/13	at Boulder (11-5)	CO Centen	77.9	9	L	1-	22		0.000
3/18	CHEROKEE TRAIL (5-10)	CO Centen	62.6		L	4-	14		-0.125
3/20	at Smoky Hill (8-8)	CO Centen	77.6		L	0-	25		0.000
3/28	STEAMBOAT SPRINGS (0-10)	CO Metro	56.1		W	13-	10		0.250
4/08	MULLEN (9-6)	CO Centen	78.2	8	L	3-	20		0.000
4/10	EAGLECREST (0-9)	CO Centen	54.4		W	12-	10		0.200
4/17	at Grandview (5-8)	CO Centen	72.3		L	2-	15		0.000
4/21	at Rangeview (0-10)	CO Contin	52.3		W	14-	5		0.200
4/23	at Mountain Range (0-7)	CO Indep	56.1			-
4/24	CHERRY CREEK CLUB (10-3)	CO Indep	76.8		L	3-	18		0.000
			61.2						0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	A	Thomas Jefferson-South	6-	8	-2	-3		0.82	0.71
3/08	H	Pine Creek	3-	13	-10	-13	+	-0.82	2.57
3/10	H	Palmer	3-	16	-13	-10	–	-0.82	-3.08
3/13	A	Boulder	1-	22	-21	-19		0.82	-1.96
3/18	H	Cherokee Trail	4-	14	-10	-5	––	-0.82	-5.40
3/20	A	Smoky Hill	0-	25	-25	-20	––	0.82	-4.99
3/28	H	Steamboat Springs	13-	10	3	0	+	-0.82	2.73
4/08	H	Mullen	3-	20	-17	-19	+	-0.82	2.30
4/10	H	Eaglecrest	12-	10	2	2		-0.82	0.21
4/17	A	Grandview	2-	15	-13	-15		0.82	1.69
4/21	A	Rangeview	14-	5	9	2	+++	0.82	6.72
4/24	H	Cherry Creek Club	3-	18	-15	-14		-0.82	-1.48
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	H	Pine Creek	3-	13	-2.57
3/10	H	Palmer	3-	16	3.00
3/13	A	Boulder	1-	22	1.96
3/18	H	Cherokee Trail	4-	14	0.00
3/20	A	Smoky Hill	0-	25	4.99
4/08	H	Mullen	3-	20	-2.30
4/17	A	Grandview	2-	15	-1.69
4/24	H	Cherry Creek Club	3-	18	1.48
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	58.		Natl CCR Rank	1890
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	57.87		Natl Power Rank	1890
Natl SOS Rating	48.23		Natl SOS Rank	2027
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	582
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	1586
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-9.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-17.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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