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Portsmouth Abbey Ravens (10-3 - 1)

Region: NE

State: RI

Coach: Mindy Urick

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	OAK KNOLL SCHOOL (20-3)	NJ CJ Lgn	86.7		L	4-	17		-0.050
4/09	CONCORD ACADEMY, MA (2-7)	NE	63.0		W	16-	5		0.000
4/11	BEAVER CDS (0-8)	NE	54.1		W	18-	0		0.000
4/12	at Winsor School (4-4)	NE	68.7		W	21-	14		0.075
4/16	at Berwick Academy (3-7)	NE	62.7		W	20-	5		0.000
4/18	at Worcester Acad, MA (3-8)	NE	67.4		W	15-	6		0.050
4/21	ST. GEORGE'S SCHOOL, R (13-4)	NE	81.4	10	L	9-	17		-0.175
4/25	LEXINGTON CHRISTIAN, M (4-6)	NE	67.6		W	17-	2		0.000
4/30	WHEELER SCHOOL, RI (7-2)	RI SENE I	73.6		W	21-	16		0.150
5/02	at Newton CDS (10-4)	NE	72.6		T	13-	13		0.000
5/07	PINGREE SCHOOL (14-5)	NE	79.4		L	12-	13		-0.225
5/10	at Dana Hall School (5-8)	NE	69.6		W	19-	10		0.175
5/14	BANCROFT SCHOOL (2-9)	NE	56.9		W	18-	3		0.000
5/21	at Tabor Academy (1-13)	NE	67.9		W	19-	10		0.100
			72.4						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Oak Knoll School	4-	17	-13	-8	––	-1.43		-4.59
4/09	H	Concord Academy, MA	16-	5	11	14	–	-1.05	-3.05
4/11	H	Beaver CDS	18-	0	18	20		-1.05	-1.65
4/12	A	Winsor School	21-	14	7	7		1.05	0.15
4/16	A	Berwick Academy	20-	5	15	13	+	1.05	2.10
4/18	A	Worcester Acad, MA	15-	6	9	8		1.05	0.50
4/21	H	St. George's School, R	9-	17	-8	-3	––	-1.05	-4.64
4/25	H	Lexington Christian, M	17-	2	15	12	+	-1.05	3.41
4/30	H	Wheeler School, RI	21-	16	5	4		-1.05		0.67
5/02	A	Newton CDS	13-	13	0	3	–	1.05	-2.55
5/07	H	Pingree School	12-	13	-1	-1		-1.05	0.41
5/10	A	Dana Hall School	19-	10	9	3	++	1.05	5.96
5/14	H	Bancroft School	18-	3	15	18	–	-1.05	-3.45
5/21	A	Tabor Academy	19-	10	9	6	+	1.05	2.80
									0.00	-3.91

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Oak Knoll School	4-	17	3.00
4/09	H	Concord Academy, MA	16-	5	3.05
4/11	H	Beaver CDS	18-	0	1.65
4/16	A	Berwick Academy	20-	5	-2.10
4/25	H	Lexington Christian, M	17-	2	-3.41
5/14	H	Bancroft School	18-	3	3.45
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	459
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.89		Natl Power Rank	459
Natl SOS Rating	63.84		Natl SOS Rank	847
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	834
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	346
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	11.0


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