| Region: NC East | State: NC | Coach: Peter DeStaebler |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/26 | ATHENS DRIVE (3-11) | NC East | 61.2 | | | - | | | |
2/29 | MIDDLE CREEK (5-9) | NC East | 63.3 | | L | 3- | 11 | | -0.075 |
3/04 | at Chapel Hill (13-8) | NC E Cen | 69.2 | 9 | | - | | | |
3/06 | at Carrboro (4-11) | NC E Cen | 61.3 | | L | 4- | 14 | | -0.125 |
3/12 | BROUGHTON (14-3) | NC East | 70.9 | 6 | L | 5- | 14 | | 0.000 |
3/13 | at Riverside, NC (0-13) | NC E Cen | 57.9 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.225 |
3/18 | CARY (0-10) | NC East | 57.8 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.200 |
3/25 | at Green Hope (13-6) | NC East | 71.3 | 4 | L | 2- | 18 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | ENLOE (7-7) | NC East | 65.5 | | L | 5- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/08 | APEX (19-3) | NC East | 79.6 | 1 | L | 1- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | at St. Mary's, NC (7-9) | NC E Cen | 61.8 | | L | 8- | 21 | | -0.100 |
4/11 | at Broughton (14-3) | NC East | 70.9 | 6 | L | 2- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at Wakefield, NC (12-5) | NC East | 68.5 | | L | 5- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | CHAPEL HILL (13-8) | NC E Cen | 69.2 | 9 | L | 1- | 11 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | ATHENS DRIVE (3-11) | NC East | 61.2 | | L | 9- | 10 | ot | -0.150 |
4/21 | at Enloe (7-7) | NC East | 65.5 | | L | 3- | 15 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | at Cary (0-10) | NC East | 57.8 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.225 |
| | 65.5 | | | | | | 0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/29 | H | Middle Creek | 3- | 11 | -8 | -7 | | -0.39 | -1.07 | |
3/06 | A | Carrboro | 4- | 14 | -10 | -5 | –– | 0.39 | -5.37 | |
3/12 | H | Broughton | 5- | 14 | -9 | -13 | + | -0.39 | 3.59 | |
3/13 | A | Riverside, NC | 9- | 6 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.39 | 2.02 | |
3/18 | H | Cary | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | + | -0.39 | 2.20 | |
3/25 | A | Green Hope | 2- | 18 | -16 | -15 | | 0.39 | -1.32 | |
3/28 | H | Enloe | 5- | 17 | -12 | -10 | – | -0.39 | -2.05 | |
4/08 | H | Apex | 1- | 17 | -16 | -22 | ++ | -0.39 | 5.79 | |
4/10 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 8- | 21 | -13 | -6 | ––– | 0.39 | -6.95 | |
4/11 | A | Broughton | 2- | 16 | -14 | -13 | | 0.39 | -0.64 | |
4/14 | A | Wakefield, NC | 5- | 17 | -12 | -11 | | 0.39 | -0.98 | |
4/15 | H | Chapel Hill | 1- | 11 | -10 | -11 | | -0.39 | 1.47 | |
4/18 | H | Athens Drive | 9- | 10 | -1 | -4 | + | -0.39 | 2.61 | |
4/21 | A | Enloe | 3- | 15 | -12 | -11 | | 0.39 | -1.28 | |
4/29 | A | Cary | 10- | 7 | 3 | 1 | | 0.39 | 1.97 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/06 | A | Carrboro | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
3/25 | A | Green Hope | 2- | 18 | 1.32 |
3/28 | H | Enloe | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
4/08 | H | Apex | 1- | 17 | -5.79 |
4/10 | A | St. Mary's, NC | 8- | 21 | 3.00 |
4/11 | A | Broughton | 2- | 16 | 0.64 |
4/14 | A | Wakefield, NC | 5- | 17 | 0.98 |
4/15 | H | Chapel Hill | 1- | 11 | -1.47 |
4/21 | A | Enloe | 3- | 15 | 1.28 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.13 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 60. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1762 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 60.46 | | Natl Power Rank | 1762 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 53.38 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1694 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 766 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.20 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1718 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 3-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -8.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -16.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -12.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.3 |
|
