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Palmyra-Macedon, NY Red Raiders (7-12)

Conference: FL

Region: NY C Sec 5

State: NY

Coach: E.J. Burse

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Victor (14-5)	NY B Sec 5	78.9		L	1-	15		-0.025
4/03	LIVONIA, NY (11-8)	NY C Sec 5	71.8		L	4-	8		-0.200
4/07	at Waterloo (14-7)	NY C Sec 5	79.3		L	4-	15		0.000
4/09	CANANDAIGUA ACADEMY (18-2)	NY B Sec 5	90.4	2	L	3-	15		0.000
4/22	AQUINAS INSTITUTE, NY (2-17)	NY C Sec 5	60.2		W	9-	8		0.150
4/24	at Midlakes (11-9)	NY C Sec 5	72.1		L	5-	9		-0.200
4/26	MYNDERSE ACADEMY (1-16)	NY C Sec 5	61.6		W	10-	4		0.175
4/28	MARCUS WHITMAN (13-7)	NY C Sec 5	77.9		L	4-	15		-0.025
4/30	at Newark, NY (4-12)	NY C Sec 5	69.3		L	10-	16		-0.175
5/01	at Livonia, NY (11-8)	NY C Sec 5	71.8		W	12-	11		0.350
5/02	WATERLOO (14-7)	NY C Sec 5	79.3		L	3-	20		-0.025
5/06	PENN YAN ACADEMY (12-6)	NY C Sec 5	79.1		L	4-	11		-0.025
5/08	at Geneva (3-16)	NY C Sec 5	65.5		W	14-	13		0.275
5/10	at Mynderse Academy (1-16)	NY C Sec 5	61.6		W	14-	11		0.200
5/12	at Aquinas Institute, NY (2-17)	NY C Sec 5	60.2		W	11-	9		0.175
5/14	at Marcus Whitman (13-7)	NY C Sec 5	77.9		L	5-	13		0.000
5/16	MIDLAKES (11-9)	NY C Sec 5	72.1		L	13-	14		-0.225
5/20	EAST IRONDEQUOIT (7-9)	NY B Sec 5	72.6		W	11-	9		0.325
5/23	at Livonia, NY (11-8)	NY C Sec 5	71.8		L	8-	12		-0.150
			75.3						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Victor	1-	15	-14	-9	––	0.78	-5.23
4/03	H	Livonia, NY	4-	8	-4	-2		-0.78	-1.75
4/07	A	Waterloo	4-	15	-11	-10		0.78	-0.65
4/09	H	Canandaigua Academy	3-	15	-12	-19	+++	-0.78	7.02
4/22	H	Aquinas Institute, NY	9-	8	1	4	–	-0.78	-3.48
4/24	A	Midlakes	5-	9	-4	-2		0.78	-1.66
4/26	H	Mynderse Academy	10-	4	6	3	+	-0.78	2.57
4/28	H	Marcus Whitman	4-	15	-11	-9	–	-0.78	-2.37
4/30	A	Newark, NY	10-	16	-6	-3	–	0.78	-3.08
5/01	A	Livonia, NY	12-	11	1	-4	++	0.78	4.82
5/02	H	Waterloo	3-	20	-17	-9	–––	-0.78	-8.22
5/06	H	Penn Yan Academy	4-	11	-7	-9	+	-0.78	2.11
5/08	A	Geneva	14-	13	1	-1	+	0.78	2.44
5/10	A	Mynderse Academy	14-	11	3	2		0.78	1.13
5/12	A	Aquinas Institute, NY	11-	9	2	3		0.78	-0.92
5/14	A	Marcus Whitman	5-	13	-8	-10	+	0.78	2.20
5/16	H	Midlakes	13-	14	-1	-1		-0.78	-0.22
5/20	H	East Irondequoit	11-	9	2	-3	++	-0.78	5.47
5/23	A	Livonia, NY	8-	12	-4	-4		0.78	-0.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Victor	1-	15	4.00
4/07	A	Waterloo	4-	15	1.00
4/09	H	Canandaigua Academy	3-	15	-7.02
4/28	H	Marcus Whitman	4-	15	1.00
5/02	H	Waterloo	3-	20	7.00
10-goal correction: 0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1132
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.47		Natl Power Rank	1132
Natl SOS Rating	67.74		Natl SOS Rank	555
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	367
W-L Pct Rating	0.37		W-L Pct Rank	1357
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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