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Phoenix Country Day Eagles (3-9)

Region: AZ AGLA 2

State: AZ

Coach: A. Grenchik

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/19	DESERT VISTA (7-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.1	9	L	11-	14		-0.225
2/21	at Dobson (8-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.8	8	L	6-	8	ot	-0.200
2/26	CORONA DEL SOL (11-3)	AZ AGLA 2	66.4	4	L	6-	10		-0.100
2/28	at Notre Dame Prep, AZ (0-12)	AZ AGLA 2	47.3		W	11-	3		0.100
3/04	MOUNTAIN POINTE (4-9)	AZ AGLA 2	55.1	10	W	8-	7	ot	0.250
3/07	DESERT MOUNTAIN (5-8)	AZ AGLA 1	66.0	5	L	5-	19		0.000
3/13	NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-12)	AZ AGLA 2	47.3		W	14-	4		0.075
3/20	at Chaparral, AZ (9-6)	AZ AGLA 1	72.3	3	L	3-	14		0.000
4/01	at Desert Vista (7-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.1	9	L	11-	14		-0.200
4/03	at Corona Del Sol (11-3)	AZ AGLA 2	66.4	4	L	9-	17		-0.075
4/10	at Mountain Pointe (4-9)	AZ AGLA 2	55.1	10	L	5-	9		-0.250
4/15	DOBSON (8-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.8	8	L	6-	7		-0.225
			63.4						-0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/19	H	Desert Vista	11-	14	-3	-1		-0.48	-1.86
2/21	A	Dobson	6-	8	-2	-2		0.48	0.22
2/26	H	Corona Del Sol	6-	10	-4	-6		-0.48	1.94
2/28	A	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	11-	3	8	6		0.48	1.59
3/04	H	Mountain Pointe	8-	7	1	0		-0.48	0.53
3/07	H	Desert Mountain	5-	19	-14	-10	––	-0.48	-4.36
3/13	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	14-	4	10	7	+	-0.48	2.63
3/20	A	Chaparral, AZ	3-	14	-11	-16	++	0.48	4.57
4/01	A	Desert Vista	11-	14	-3	-2		0.48	-0.90
4/03	A	Corona Del Sol	9-	17	-8	-7		0.48	-1.10
4/10	A	Mountain Pointe	5-	9	-4	0	–	0.48	-3.51
4/15	H	Dobson	6-	7	-1	-1		-0.48	0.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/07	H	Desert Mountain	5-	19	4.00
3/13	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	14-	4	0.00
3/20	A	Chaparral, AZ	3-	14	-4.57
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	54.		Natl CCR Rank	2034
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	54.86		Natl Power Rank	2034
Natl SOS Rating	50.78		Natl SOS Rank	1899
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	2177
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	1582
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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