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Perry Hall Gators (7-6)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Jennifer Ice

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	at Patapsco (5-7)	MD 3A	69.8		W	16-	3		0.000
4/03	at Owings Mills (1-11)	MD 2A	68.4		W	18-	2		0.000
4/05	at Harrison, NY (6-3)	NY B Sec 1	74.1		W	14-	6		0.175
4/08	at Pikesville (9-6)	MD 2A	81.0		L	8-	12		-0.100
4/10	LOCH RAVEN (12-4)	MD 1A	85.2		L	3-	13		-0.100
4/15	TOWSON HS (14-5)	MD 3A	87.2	9	L	8-	17		-0.050
4/17	EASTERN TECHNICAL (5-11)	MD 2A	73.8		W	10-	6		0.000
4/22	at Parkville (3-10)	MD 4A	71.8		W	13-	2		0.100
4/25	vs. Inst. of Notre Dame # (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2		W	10-	7		0.100
4/29	DULANEY (13-4)	MD 4A	86.3		L	4-	10		-0.075
4/30	at Loch Raven (12-4)	MD 1A	85.2		L	2-	15		-0.050
5/01	at Sparrows Point (4-9)	MD 1A	71.9		W	14-	6		0.050
5/08	CATONSVILLE (13-7)	MD 3A	84.8		L	7-	12		-0.075
# Neutral site			77.3						-0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	A	Patapsco	16-	3	13	12		0.99	1.06
4/03	A	Owings Mills	18-	2	16	10	++	0.99	6.00
4/05	A	Harrison, NY	14-	6	8	3	++	1.23		4.87
4/08	A	Pikesville	8-	12	-4	-6	+	0.99	2.16
4/10	H	Loch Raven	3-	13	-10	-6	–	-0.99	-3.78
4/15	H	Towson HS	8-	17	-9	-8		-0.99	-1.16
4/17	H	Eastern Technical	10-	6	4	11	–––	-0.99	-7.01
4/22	A	Parkville	13-	2	11	6	++	0.99	4.87
4/25	N	Inst. of Notre Dame	10-	7	3	6	–	0.00		-3.29
4/29	H	Dulaney	4-	10	-6	-7		-0.99	0.57
4/30	A	Loch Raven	2-	15	-13	-8	––	0.99	-4.80
5/01	A	Sparrows Point	14-	6	8	8		0.99	0.35
5/08	H	Catonsville	7-	12	-5	-7		-0.99	1.74
									0.00	1.58

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Patapsco	16-	3	-1.06
4/03	A	Owings Mills	18-	2	-6.00
4/10	H	Loch Raven	3-	13	0.00
4/22	A	Parkville	13-	2	-1.00
4/30	A	Loch Raven	2-	15	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	346
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.51		Natl Power Rank	346
Natl SOS Rating	71.88		Natl SOS Rank	339
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1226
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	894
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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