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Pine Bush Bushmen (16-2)

Region: NY A Sec 9

State: NY

Coach: R. Schirrman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	DELAWARE VALLEY, PA (1-8)	NY C Sec 9	62.1	10	W	13-	2		0.000
4/08	at Burke Catholic (5-9)	NY C Sec 9	64.4	8	W	18-	3		0.050
4/10	WARWICK VALLEY, NY (5-5)	NY A Sec 9	65.8	6	W	15-	1		0.000
4/15	at Saugerties (11-6)	NY B Sec 9	69.5	3	W	10-	9		0.150
4/16	MIDDLETOWN, NY (0-9)	NY A Sec 9	55.8		W	17-	1		0.000
4/18	MINISINK VALLEY (0-12)	NY A Sec 9	58.1		W	16-	4		0.000
4/30	at Kingston (16-5)	NY A Sec 9	74.1	1	L	6-	9		-0.200
5/01	at O'Neill (11-6)	NY C Sec 9	69.4	4	W	13-	12	ot	0.175
5/05	at Newburgh Free Acad (3-6)	NY A Sec 9	65.0	7	W	15-	4		0.075
5/08	MONROE-WOODBURY (7-6)	NY A Sec 9	68.0	5	W	12-	5		0.075
5/10	VALLEY CENTRAL (4-6)	NY A Sec 9	64.0	9	W	12-	1		0.000
5/12	at Middletown, NY (0-9)	NY A Sec 9	55.8		W	19-	1		0.000
5/14	KINGSTON (16-5)	NY A Sec 9	74.1	1	W	7-	6		0.250
5/19	at Monroe-Woodbury (7-6)	NY A Sec 9	68.0	5	W	8-	4		0.125
5/20	NEWBURGH FREE ACAD (3-6)	NY A Sec 9	65.0	7	W	15-	4		0.000
5/23	at Washingtonville (1-6)	NY A Sec 9	59.9		W	19-	5		0.000
5/27	vs. Warwick Valley, NY # (5-5)	NY A Sec 9	65.8	6	W	14-	8		0.025
6/02	vs. Kingston # (16-5)	NY A Sec 9	74.1	1	L	8-	14		-0.225
# Neutral site			65.0						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Delaware Valley, PA	13-	2	11	12		-1.18	-0.67
4/08	A	Burke Catholic	18-	3	15	8	+++	1.18	7.36
4/10	H	Warwick Valley, NY	15-	1	14	10	++	-1.18	4.26
4/15	A	Saugerties	10-	9	1	4	–	1.18	-3.17
4/16	H	Middletown, NY	17-	1	16	19	–	-1.18	-3.02
4/18	H	Minisink Valley	16-	4	12	14	–	-1.18	-2.14
4/30	A	Kingston	6-	9	-3	-2		1.18	-0.85
5/01	A	O'Neill	13-	12	1	3	–	1.18	-2.28
5/05	A	Newburgh Free Acad	15-	4	11	7	+	1.18	3.70
5/08	H	Monroe-Woodbury	12-	5	7	7		-1.18	-0.06
5/10	H	Valley Central	12-	1	11	11		-1.18	0.36
5/12	A	Middletown, NY	19-	1	18	17		1.18	1.34
5/14	H	Kingston	7-	6	1	0		-1.18	0.79
5/19	A	Monroe-Woodbury	8-	4	4	5		1.18	-0.70
5/20	H	Newburgh Free Acad	15-	4	11	10		-1.18	1.34
5/23	A	Washingtonville	19-	5	14	13		1.18	1.33
5/27	N	Warwick Valley, NY	14-	8	6	9	–	0.00	-2.56
6/02	N	Kingston	8-	14	-6	-1	––	0.00	-5.03
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Delaware Valley, PA	13-	2	0.67
4/08	A	Burke Catholic	18-	3	-5.00
4/10	H	Warwick Valley, NY	15-	1	-4.26
4/16	H	Middletown, NY	17-	1	3.02
4/18	H	Minisink Valley	16-	4	2.14
5/05	A	Newburgh Free Acad	15-	4	-1.00
5/10	H	Valley Central	12-	1	-0.36
5/12	A	Middletown, NY	19-	1	-1.34
5/20	H	Newburgh Free Acad	15-	4	-1.34
5/23	A	Washingtonville	19-	5	-1.33
10-goal correction: -0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	686
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.77		Natl Power Rank	686
Natl SOS Rating	52.77		Natl SOS Rank	1745
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	456
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	95
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	12-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	16-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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