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Pinnacle Pioneers (13-4)

Region: AZ AGLA 1

State: AZ

Coach: Scott Stemm

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/16	vs. Memorial, Houston # (18-4)	TX South	78.1		L	9-	11		-0.175
2/17	vs. Eagles Club # (0-3)	ID Indep	73.0		W	8-	7		0.200
2/17	vs. Miramonte # (17-5)	CA DFAL	77.3		W	4-	2		0.325
2/20	NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-12)	AZ AGLA 2	47.3		W	19-	1		0.000
2/21	DESERT MOUNTAIN (5-8)	AZ AGLA 1	66.0	5	W	13-	7		0.125
3/04	at Chaparral, AZ (9-6)	AZ AGLA 1	72.3	3	W	8-	7		0.275
3/06	at Horizon (12-2)	AZ AGLA 1	79.0	1	W	10-	8		0.350
3/12	at Gilbert (5-7)	AZ AGLA 1	65.6	6	W	9-	4		0.125
3/13	XAVIOR COLLEGE PREP (3-9)	AZ AGLA 1	61.2	7	W	14-	4		0.000
3/29	at Desert Vista (7-6)	AZ AGLA 2	59.1	9	W	17-	4		0.000
4/03	HORIZON (12-2)	AZ AGLA 1	79.0	1	L	8-	16		-0.175
4/08	GILBERT (5-7)	AZ AGLA 1	65.6	6	L	11-	12		-0.400
4/10	at Desert Mountain (5-8)	AZ AGLA 1	66.0	5	W	13-	7		0.150
4/15	CHAPARRAL, AZ (9-6)	AZ AGLA 1	72.3	3	W	9-	8		0.250
4/17	at Xavior College Prep (3-9)	AZ AGLA 1	61.2	7	W	14-	2		0.025
4/22	vs. Chaparral, AZ # (9-6)	AZ AGLA 1	72.3	3	W	10-	9	ot	0.250
4/25	vs. Horizon # (12-2)	AZ AGLA 1	79.0	1	L	8-	9	ot	-0.175
# Neutral site			71.9						1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	N	Memorial, Houston	9-	11	-2	-3		0.00		1.34
2/17	N	Eagles Club	8-	7	1	2		0.00		-0.74
2/17	N	Miramonte	4-	2	2	-3	++	0.00		4.56
2/20	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	19-	1	18	22	––	-0.48	-4.17
2/21	H	Desert Mountain	13-	7	6	5		-0.48	0.84
3/04	A	Chaparral, AZ	8-	7	1	-1		0.48	1.78
3/06	A	Horizon	10-	8	2	-4	++	0.48	5.76
3/12	A	Gilbert	9-	4	5	5		0.48	-0.41
3/13	H	Xavior College Prep	14-	4	10	10		-0.48	-0.34
3/29	A	Desert Vista	17-	4	13	13		0.48	0.31
4/03	H	Horizon	8-	16	-8	-3	––	-0.48	-5.20
4/08	H	Gilbert	11-	12	-1	6	–––	-0.48	-7.38
4/10	A	Desert Mountain	13-	7	6	4		0.48	1.81
4/15	H	Chaparral, AZ	9-	8	1	0		-0.48	0.81
4/17	A	Xavior College Prep	14-	2	12	9	+	0.48	2.62
4/22	N	Chaparral, AZ	10-	9	1	0		0.00	1.30
4/25	N	Horizon	8-	9	-1	-3	+	0.00	2.28
									0.00	5.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/20	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	19-	1	4.17
3/13	H	Xavior College Prep	14-	4	0.34
3/29	A	Desert Vista	17-	4	-0.31
4/17	A	Xavior College Prep	14-	2	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	646
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.74		Natl Power Rank	646
Natl SOS Rating	62.73		Natl SOS Rank	929
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	93
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	301
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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