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Pine Creek Eagles (12-3)

Region: CO Southn

State: CO

Coach: Roger Wallace

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	at Overland (3-9)	CO Centen	57.9		W	13-	3		0.000
3/11	BOULDER (11-5)	CO Centen	77.9	9	L	3-	8		-0.150
3/14	GREEN MOUNTAIN (0-11)	CO Jeffco	56.7		W	15-	2		0.000
3/20	RAMPART (6-7)	CO Southn	67.5		W	10-	3		0.125
3/22	at Steamboat Springs (0-10)	CO Metro	56.1		W	14-	4		0.000
4/02	LEWIS-PALMER (9-4)	CO Southn	76.5		W	9-	8		0.275
4/04	at Air Academy (17-1)	CO Southn	82.7	2	L	0-	19		0.000
4/08	CHATFIELD (5-7)	CO Jeffco	66.7		W	9-	5		0.100
4/11	at Cheyenne Mountain (10-5)	CO Southn	77.4		L	10-	12		-0.200
4/14	at Pueblo West (0-9)	CO Southn	58.5		W	16-	2		0.000
4/17	COLUMBINE (10-6)	CO Jeffco	74.9		W	6-	4		0.250
4/21	at Cherokee Trail (5-10)	CO Centen	62.6		W	14-	5		0.075
4/23	at Fountain Valley School (3-7)	CO Indep	63.1		W	11-	7		0.100
4/25	PALMER (7-8)	CO Southn	68.2		W	8-	6	ot	0.175
4/26	LIBERTY, CO (9-5)	CO Southn	77.4		W	9-	8		0.300
			62.4						1.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	A	Overland	13-	3	10	13	–	0.82	-2.57
3/11	H	Boulder	3-	8	-5	-4		-0.82	-0.99
3/14	H	Green Mountain	15-	2	13	13		-0.82	-0.04
3/20	H	Rampart	10-	3	7	5	+	-0.82	2.28
3/22	A	Steamboat Springs	14-	4	10	12	–	0.82	-2.02
4/02	H	Lewis-Palmer	9-	8	1	-1		-0.82	1.92
4/04	A	Air Academy	0-	19	-19	-13	––	0.82	-5.56
4/08	H	Chatfield	9-	5	4	6		-0.82	-1.65
4/11	A	Cheyenne Mountain	10-	12	-2	-2		0.82	0.18
4/14	A	Pueblo West	16-	2	14	10	++	0.82	4.45
4/17	H	Columbine	6-	4	2	0	+	-0.82	2.00
4/21	A	Cherokee Trail	14-	5	9	7		0.82	1.85
4/23	A	Fountain Valley School	11-	7	4	6		0.82	-1.57
4/25	H	Palmer	8-	6	2	3		-0.82	-1.47
4/26	H	Liberty, CO	9-	8	1	-2	+	-0.82	3.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/08	A	Overland	13-	3	2.57
3/14	H	Green Mountain	15-	2	0.04
3/22	A	Steamboat Springs	14-	4	2.02
4/04	A	Air Academy	0-	19	5.56
4/14	A	Pueblo West	16-	2	-4.45
10-goal correction: 0.38

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	431
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.93		Natl Power Rank	431
Natl SOS Rating	49.61		Natl SOS Rank	1962
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	143
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	219
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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