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Providence CDS, NC Chargers (1-16)

Region: NC West

State: NC

Coach: Amanda Abrahm

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at Providence HS, NC (14-6)	NC SW	68.0			-
3/01	at Charlotte CDS (12-5)	NC West	67.7		L	2-	17		0.000
3/03	at South Mecklenburg (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		L	3-	8		-0.175
3/06	MYERS PARK (13-4)	NC West	71.0	5	L	0-	11		0.000
3/08	WATAUGA (5-5)	NC West	61.8		L	3-	11		-0.100
3/10	at North Mecklenburg (8-9)	NC West	65.0		L	4-	13		-0.025
3/11	SOUTH MECKLENBURG (3-14)	NC SW	60.7			-
3/13	LAKE NORMAN (6-10)	NC West	61.5		L	1-	8		-0.125
3/26	CHARLOTTE CDS (12-5)	NC West	67.7		L	2-	13		0.000
3/28	HOPEWELL (14-6)	NC West	66.9		L	4-	11		-0.025
3/29	at Ashley (8-7)	NC SE	65.8		L	17-	23		0.000
3/31	at Butler (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	14-	12	ot	0.275
4/03	CHARLOTTE LATIN SCHOOL (5-8)	NC SW	61.8			-
4/09	at Lake Norman (6-10)	NC West	61.5		L	2-	11		-0.100
4/11	at Marvin Ridge (10-4)	NC SW	69.2	10	L	3-	13		0.000
4/14	at Charlotte Latin School (5-8)	NC SW	61.8		L	6-	14		-0.075
4/15	WEDDINGTON (8-7)	NC SW	65.7		L	5-	14		0.000
4/17	at Hopewell (14-6)	NC West	66.9		L	1-	14		0.000
4/21	ARDREY KELL (6-10)	NC SW	61.6		L	5-	15		-0.100
4/23	SOUTH MECKLENBURG (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		L	7-	10		-0.200
			63.9						-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/01	A	Charlotte CDS	2-	17	-15	-12	–	0.39	-2.86
3/03	A	South Mecklenburg	3-	8	-5	-3	–	0.39	-2.08
3/06	H	Myers Park	0-	11	-11	-15	+	-0.39	3.71
3/08	H	Watauga	3-	11	-8	-6	–	-0.39	-2.29
3/10	A	North Mecklenburg	4-	13	-9	-9		0.39	0.35
3/13	H	Lake Norman	1-	8	-7	-5		-0.39	-1.68
3/26	H	Charlotte CDS	2-	13	-11	-11		-0.39	0.37
3/28	H	Hopewell	4-	11	-7	-9	+	-0.39	2.34
3/29	A	Ashley	17-	23	-6	-12	++	0.39	5.62
3/31	A	Butler	14-	12	2	-1	+	0.39	3.04
4/09	A	Lake Norman	2-	11	-9	-6	–	0.39	-2.91
4/11	A	Marvin Ridge	3-	13	-10	-14	+	0.39	3.86
4/14	A	Charlotte Latin School	6-	14	-8	-7		0.39	-0.98
4/15	H	Weddington	5-	14	-9	-11		-0.39	1.76
4/17	A	Hopewell	1-	14	-13	-10	–	0.39	-2.89
4/21	H	Ardrey Kell	5-	15	-10	-6	––	-0.39	-4.50
4/23	H	South Mecklenburg	7-	10	-3	-2		-0.39	-0.86
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/01	A	Charlotte CDS	2-	17	2.86
3/06	H	Myers Park	0-	11	-3.71
3/26	H	Charlotte CDS	2-	13	-0.37
4/11	A	Marvin Ridge	3-	13	-3.86
4/17	A	Hopewell	1-	14	3.00
4/21	H	Ardrey Kell	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	58.		Natl CCR Rank	1875
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	58.21		Natl Power Rank	1875
Natl SOS Rating	51.04		Natl SOS Rank	1880
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2050
W-L Pct Rating	0.06		W-L Pct Rank	1987
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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