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Providence HS, NC Panthers (14-6 - 1)

Region: NC SW

State: NC

Coach: Richard Keenan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	PROVIDENCE CDS, NC (1-16)	NC West	58.2			-
2/29	MARVIN RIDGE (10-4)	NC SW	69.2	10	T	10-	10		0.000
3/03	at Ardrey Kell (6-10)	NC SW	61.6		W	10-	9		0.100
3/06	at South Mecklenburg (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		W	14-	4		0.025
3/08	BUTLER (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	16-	6		0.000
3/08	LAKE NORMAN (6-10)	NC West	61.5		W	8-	2		0.075
3/11	HOPEWELL (14-6)	NC West	66.9		W	12-	10		0.175
3/13	CHARLOTTE LATIN SCHOOL (5-8)	NC SW	61.8		W	14-	6		0.100
3/14	at Myers Park (13-4)	NC West	71.0	5	L	11-	12		-0.150
3/17	at Weddington (8-7)	NC SW	65.7		W	13-	7		0.250
3/18	OSBOURN HS (7-8)	VA NW AAA	67.7		W	8-	7		0.200
3/20	at North Mecklenburg (8-9)	NC West	65.0		W	15-	13		0.175
3/29	at Hoggard (11-3)	NC SE	69.6	8	L	9-	12		-0.225
4/02	at Butler (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	17-	4		0.000
4/15	MARVIN RIDGE (10-4)	NC SW	69.2	10	L	8-	11		-0.225
4/17	ARDREY KELL (6-10)	NC SW	61.6		W	13-	5		0.100
4/18	SOUTH MECKLENBURG (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		W	15-	5		0.000
4/21	WEDDINGTON (8-7)	NC SW	65.7		W	21-	13		0.225
4/23	at Charlotte Catholic (19-2)	NC SW	76.5	2	L	2-	12		-0.050
4/26	vs. Freedom, NC # (0-5)	NC West	55.2			-
4/26	at Watauga (5-5)	NC West	61.8		W	9-	7		0.125
4/29	at Hopewell (14-6)	NC West	66.9		L	9-	11		-0.300
5/02	at Myers Park (13-4)	NC West	71.0	5	L	9-	15		-0.150
# Neutral site			64.1						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	H	Marvin Ridge	10-	10	0	-1		-0.39	1.14
3/03	A	Ardrey Kell	10-	9	1	6	––	0.39	-4.67
3/06	A	South Mecklenburg	14-	4	10	9		0.39	0.98
3/08	H	Butler	16-	6	10	12		-0.39	-1.68
3/08	H	Lake Norman	8-	2	6	7		-0.39	-0.62
3/11	H	Hopewell	12-	10	2	3		-0.39	-0.60
3/13	H	Charlotte Latin School	14-	6	8	6	+	-0.39	2.30
3/14	A	Myers Park	11-	12	-1	-4	+	0.39	2.54
3/17	A	Weddington	13-	7	6	0	++	0.39	5.60
3/18	H	Osbourn HS	8-	7	1	2		-1.33		-0.65
3/20	A	North Mecklenburg	15-	13	2	3		0.39	-0.59
3/29	A	Hoggard	9-	12	-3	-1		0.39	-1.65
4/02	A	Butler	17-	4	13	11	+	0.39	2.09
4/15	H	Marvin Ridge	8-	11	-3	-1		-0.39	-1.86
4/17	H	Ardrey Kell	13-	5	8	6		-0.39	1.56
4/18	H	South Mecklenburg	15-	5	10	10		-0.39	0.20
4/21	H	Weddington	21-	13	8	1	+++	-0.39	6.82
4/23	A	Charlotte Catholic	2-	12	-10	-8		0.39	-1.83
4/26	A	Watauga	9-	7	2	5	–	0.39	-3.46
4/29	A	Hopewell	9-	11	-2	2	–	0.39	-3.83
5/02	A	Myers Park	9-	15	-6	-4	–	0.39	-2.46
									0.00	-0.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	A	South Mecklenburg	14-	4	0.00
3/08	H	Butler	16-	6	1.68
4/02	A	Butler	17-	4	-2.09
4/18	H	South Mecklenburg	15-	5	-0.20
4/23	A	Charlotte Catholic	2-	12	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1197
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.00		Natl Power Rank	1197
Natl SOS Rating	51.61		Natl SOS Rank	1832
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	469
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	494
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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