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Quince Orchard Cougars (12-2)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Skye Saltsman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Bethesda-Chevy Chase (9-4)	MD 3A	78.8		W	12-	2		0.275
4/04	RICHARD MONTGOMERY (3-7)	MD 4A	71.4		W	17-	8		0.000
4/08	at Gaithersburg (6-7)	MD 4A	74.2		W	14-	6		0.100
4/10	WATKINS MILL (4-9)	MD 3A	68.6		W	13-	3		0.000
4/12	at Damascus (8-4)	MD 4A	76.0		W	7-	6		0.150
4/16	NORTHWEST (3-6)	MD 3A	71.9		W	15-	4		0.000
4/18	at Seneca Valley, MD (3-11)	MD 3A	66.9		W	20-	7		0.000
4/23	at Sherwood, MD (10-5)	MD 4A	77.9		W	10-	8		0.250
4/25	WALTER JOHNSON (8-6)	MD 4A	75.3		W	12-	7		0.075
4/30	MONTGOMERY BLAIR, MD (9-4)	MD 4A	75.8		W	17-	10		0.050
5/03	at Wootton (15-1)	MD 4A	82.1		L	7-	10		-0.175
5/06	CHURCHILL (8-7)	MD 4A	75.6		W	21-	12		0.075
5/10	THOMAS JOHNSON (6-7)	MD 4A	75.5		W	14-	9		0.100
5/14	URBANA (9-6)	MD 3A	81.9		L	10-	16		-0.175
			73.6						0.72

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	12-	2	10	-1	+++	0.99	11.27
4/04	H	Richard Montgomery	17-	8	9	11	–	-0.99	-2.44
4/08	A	Gaithersburg	14-	6	8	6		0.99	1.64
4/10	H	Watkins Mill	13-	3	10	15	––	-0.99	-4.62
4/12	A	Damascus	7-	6	1	4	–	0.99	-3.42
4/16	H	Northwest	15-	4	11	11		-0.99	0.40
4/18	A	Seneca Valley, MD	20-	7	13	13		0.99	-0.49
4/23	A	Sherwood, MD	10-	8	2	0	+	0.99	2.03
4/25	H	Walter Johnson	12-	7	5	7	–	-0.99	-2.11
4/30	H	Montgomery Blair, MD	17-	10	7	8		-0.99	-0.72
5/03	A	Wootton	7-	10	-3	-3		0.99	-0.20
5/06	H	Churchill	21-	12	9	7	+	-0.99	2.45
5/10	H	Thomas Johnson	14-	9	5	6		-0.99	-1.17
5/14	H	Urbana	10-	16	-6	-3	–	-0.99	-2.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	12-	2	0.00
4/10	H	Watkins Mill	13-	3	4.62
4/16	H	Northwest	15-	4	-0.40
4/18	A	Seneca Valley, MD	20-	7	0.49
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	261
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.54		Natl Power Rank	261
Natl SOS Rating	65.14		Natl SOS Rank	739
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.72		Natl Quality Win Rank	301
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	131
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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