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Reservoir 'Gators (10-5)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Trish Derwart

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	THOMAS JOHNSON (6-7)	MD 4A	75.5		W	18-	8		0.075
3/29	vs. Sherwood, MD # (10-5)	MD 4A	77.9		W	13-	9		0.200
4/01	at Long Reach (1-11)	MD 3A	69.6		W	17-	4		0.000
4/03	BEL AIR (7-8)	MD 3A	82.2		L	8-	18		-0.125
4/08	at Oakland Mills (2-11)	MD 1A	71.8		W	17-	7		0.050
4/09	at Hammond (2-9)	MD 2A	73.7		W	13-	5		0.050
4/11	HOWARD (3-9)	MD 2A	74.3		W	16-	10		0.025
4/15	ATHOLTON (4-9)	MD 2A	77.6		W	11-	10		0.175
4/18	WILDE LAKE (3-11)	MD 3A	73.8		W	19-	5		0.000
4/22	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-6)	MD 1A	81.0		L	10-	15		-0.200
4/29	at River Hill (6-8)	MD 3A	78.6		W	12-	11		0.250
5/02	GLENELG HS (16-4)	MD 1A	90.8	3	L	6-	22		0.000
5/05	at Centennial, MD (14-4)	MD 3A	87.0	10	L	8-	11		-0.075
5/12	ATHOLTON (4-9)	MD 2A	77.6		W	11-	10	2ot	0.175
5/13	MT. HEBRON (12-5)	MD 3A	90.0	5	L	8-	22		0.000
# Neutral site			79.0						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Thomas Johnson	18-	8	10	7	+	-0.99	3.01
3/29	N	Sherwood, MD	13-	9	4	2	+	0.00	2.22
4/01	A	Long Reach	17-	4	13	11		0.99	1.93
4/03	H	Bel Air	8-	18	-10	-5	––	-0.99	-4.95
4/08	A	Oakland Mills	17-	7	10	8	+	0.99	2.00
4/09	A	Hammond	13-	5	8	8		0.99	0.43
4/11	H	Howard	16-	10	6	9	–	-0.99	-2.75
4/15	H	Atholton	11-	10	1	3		-0.99	-1.93
4/18	H	Wilde Lake	19-	5	14	10	++	-0.99	4.48
4/22	H	Marriotts Ridge	10-	15	-5	-2	–	-0.99	-2.90
4/29	A	River Hill	12-	11	1	0		0.99	1.43
5/02	H	Glenelg HS	6-	22	-16	-13	–	-0.99	-3.22
5/05	A	Centennial, MD	8-	11	-3	-7	++	0.99	4.24
5/12	H	Atholton	11-	10	1	3		-0.99	-1.93
5/13	H	Mt. Hebron	8-	22	-14	-12	–	-0.99	-2.08
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Thomas Johnson	18-	8	0.00
4/01	A	Long Reach	17-	4	-1.93
4/03	H	Bel Air	8-	18	0.00
4/08	A	Oakland Mills	17-	7	0.00
4/18	H	Wilde Lake	19-	5	-4.48
5/02	H	Glenelg HS	6-	22	3.22
5/13	H	Mt. Hebron	8-	22	2.08
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	268
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.13		Natl Power Rank	268
Natl SOS Rating	74.78		Natl SOS Rank	233
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	365
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	539
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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