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Ridgefield Tigers (5-11)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Molly Lenseth

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Wilton (18-4)	CT Div 1	84.2	2	L	7-	17		0.000
4/04	at New Fairfield (5-12)	CT Div 1	67.6		W	10-	4		0.100
4/09	FAIRFIELD LUDLOWE (3-13)	CT Div 2	72.2		W	15-	14		0.200
4/12	at Danbury (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	L	5-	20		-0.025
4/15	BRIEN MCMAHON (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.8	9	L	8-	16		-0.075
4/17	at New Canaan (16-5)	CT Div 1	83.1	4	L	4-	20		0.000
4/19	at Greenwich HS (14-4)	CT Div 1	83.1	3	L	10-	14		0.000
4/23	JOEL BARLOW (9-8)	CT Div 1	74.2		L	9-	10		-0.300
4/26	TRUMBULL (6-10)	CT Div 2	73.9		L	9-	13		-0.250
4/30	DARIEN (17-4)	CT Div 1	86.4	1	L	4-	16		0.000
5/03	at Fairfield Ludlowe (3-13)	CT Div 2	72.2		W	11-	10		0.225
5/05	at St. Joseph, CT (5-11)	CT Div 2	72.3		L	12-	15		-0.275
5/07	ST. JOSEPH, CT (5-11)	CT Div 2	72.3		L	12-	14		-0.325
5/14	FAIRFIELD WARDE (7-9)	CT Div 1	75.8		W	14-	10		0.275
5/16	NORWALK (5-10)	CT Div 2	72.3		W	21-	10		0.175
5/20	at Staples (7-9)	CT Div 2	74.5		L	13-	14		-0.250
			73.8						-0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Wilton	7-	17	-10	-14	+	0.81	3.51
4/04	A	New Fairfield	10-	4	6	6		0.81	-0.28
4/09	H	Fairfield Ludlowe	15-	14	1	2		-0.81	-1.33
4/12	A	Danbury	5-	20	-15	-9	––	0.81	-5.94
4/15	H	Brien McMahon	8-	16	-8	-7		-0.81	-1.18
4/17	A	New Canaan	4-	20	-16	-14	–	0.81	-2.10
4/19	A	Greenwich HS	10-	14	-4	-12	+++	0.81	8.20
4/23	H	Joel Barlow	9-	10	-1	2	–	-0.81	-2.69
4/26	H	Trumbull	9-	13	-4	0	––	-0.81	-4.31
4/30	H	Darien	4-	16	-12	-15	+	-0.81	3.04
5/03	A	Fairfield Ludlowe	11-	10	1	1		0.81	0.29
5/05	A	St. Joseph, CT	12-	15	-3	1	––	0.81	-4.19
5/07	H	St. Joseph, CT	12-	14	-2	3	––	-0.81	-4.81
5/14	H	Fairfield Warde	14-	10	4	-1	++	-0.81	4.85
5/16	H	Norwalk	21-	10	11	3	+++	-0.81	8.31
5/20	A	Staples	13-	14	-1	0		0.81	-1.36
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Wilton	7-	17	-3.51
4/12	A	Danbury	5-	20	5.00
4/17	A	New Canaan	4-	20	2.10
4/30	H	Darien	4-	16	-3.04
5/16	H	Norwalk	21-	10	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	733
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.23		Natl Power Rank	733
Natl SOS Rating	65.73		Natl SOS Rank	690
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.53		Natl Quality Win Rank	1907
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1455
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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