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Stevenson School Pirates (5-9)

Region: CA CCS

State: CA

Coach: Kelly Burnett

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/14	BISHOP O'DOWD (3-13)	CA BSAL	64.6		L	7-	17		-0.200
3/15	LIVERMORE (2-14)	CA EBAL	64.8		W	7-	5		0.300
3/20	PIONEER, CA (9-5)	CA PAL	70.4		L	5-	12		-0.150
3/26	CASTILLEJA (3-10)	CA WBAL	62.7		W	12-	9		0.225
3/28	at University HS, SF (10-10)	CA MCAL	71.5		L	9-	17		-0.025
3/29	at Tamalpais (0-8)	CA MCAL	61.5		W	13-	12		0.275
4/03	BELLA VISTA (10-8)	CA SJS	67.1		L	11-	14		-0.200
4/11	MARIN CATHOLIC (13-9)	CA MCAL	73.5		L	4-	14		0.000
4/12	OAK RIDGE (11-5)	CA Indep	70.1		L	6-	12		-0.125
4/24	at Gunn (12-5)	CA PAL	70.9		L	3-	11		-0.075
4/26	ST. FRANCIS, CA (16-0)	CA SJS	76.7	8	L	5-	14		0.000
4/29	SANTA CATALINA (1-7)	CA CCS	63.4		W	13-	11		0.225
5/03	SACRED HEART PREP, CA (4-14)	CA WBAL	64.3		W	7-	5		0.325
5/07	SANTA CATALINA (1-7)	CA CCS	63.4		L	11-	14		-0.275
			67.7						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	Bishop O'Dowd	7-	17	-10	-2	–––	-1.04	-7.58
3/15	H	Livermore	7-	5	2	-2	+	-1.04	3.95
3/20	H	Pioneer, CA	5-	12	-7	-4	–	-1.04	-3.10
3/26	H	Castilleja	12-	9	3	1		-1.04	1.61
3/28	A	University HS, SF	9-	17	-8	-9		1.04	0.77
3/29	A	Tamalpais	13-	12	1	-1	+	1.04	2.40
4/03	H	Bella Vista	11-	14	-3	-2		-1.04	-0.56
4/11	H	Marin Catholic	4-	14	-10	-10		-1.04	-0.13
4/12	H	Oak Ridge	6-	12	-6	-5		-1.04	-1.42
4/24	A	Gunn	3-	11	-8	-7		1.04	-0.80
4/26	H	St. Francis, CA	5-	14	-9	-11	+	-1.04	2.30
4/29	H	Santa Catalina	13-	11	2	1		-1.04	1.49
5/03	H	Sacred Heart Prep, CA	7-	5	2	-3	++	-1.04	4.58
5/07	H	Santa Catalina	11-	14	-3	1	–	-1.04	-3.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	Bishop O'Dowd	7-	17	0.00
4/11	H	Marin Catholic	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1531
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.77		Natl Power Rank	1531
Natl SOS Rating	56.31		Natl SOS Rank	1414
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	639
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1373
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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