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Rochester, MI Falcons (6-9)

Region: MI DII

State: MI

Coach: Dave Hamel

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Whitelake-Lakeland (9-11)	MI DI	56.6		W	12-	8		0.350
4/04	PCS UNITED (11-5)	MI DI	62.5		L	7-	18		-0.100
4/07	WATERFORD UNITED, MI (1-12)	MI DI	51.1		W	9-	6		0.175
4/11	at Notre Dame Prep, MI (17-3)	MI DII	63.2		L	10-	14		-0.050
4/19	at Harper Woods-Regina (3-8)	MI DII	56.1		L	5-	16		-0.100
4/22	CARMAN-AINSWORTH (3-4)	MI DII	55.5		W	10-	9		0.275
4/23	ROCHESTER UNITED (1-7)	MI DI	50.1		W	13-	4		0.125
4/28	BIRMINGHAM UNITED (17-5)	MI DI	76.3	1	L	2-	19		0.000
4/30	at Lake Orion (1-11)	MI DII	51.1		W	8-	1		0.200
5/06	at Clarkston (1-11)	MI DI	48.9		W	15-	9		0.150
5/09	UNIVERSITY LIGGETT (1-9)	MI DII	54.6		L	6-	16		-0.225
5/14	FARMINGTON HS, MI (8-5)	MI DII	59.1		L	11-	15		-0.150
5/19	FARMINGTON UNITED (5-7)	MI DI	54.7		L	7-	9		-0.225
5/22	FLUSHING CLUB (1-5)	MI Club	54.9		L	6-	10		-0.250
5/28	vs. Sacred Heart Acad, MI # (13-6)	MI DII	71.4	6	L	1-	19		0.000
# Neutral site			59.3						0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Whitelake-Lakeland	12-	8	4	-4	+++	1.10	7.54
4/04	H	PCS United	7-	18	-11	-6	––	-1.10	-5.42
4/07	H	Waterford United, MI	9-	6	3	3		-1.10	-0.10
4/11	A	Notre Dame Prep, MI	10-	14	-4	-8	+	1.10	3.78
4/19	A	Harper Woods-Regina	5-	16	-11	-6	––	1.10	-5.46
4/22	H	Carman-Ainsworth	10-	9	1	-1	+	-1.10	2.00
4/23	H	Rochester United	13-	4	9	5	+	-1.10	3.67
4/28	H	Birmingham United	2-	19	-17	-20	+	-1.10	2.86
4/30	A	Lake Orion	8-	1	7	2	++	1.37		5.49
5/06	A	Clarkston	15-	9	6	4		1.10	1.59
5/09	H	University Liggett	6-	16	-10	-1	–––	-1.10	-8.79
5/14	H	Farmington HS, MI	11-	15	-4	-4		-1.10	0.07
5/19	H	Farmington United	7-	9	-2	-1		-1.10	-1.43
5/22	H	Flushing Club	6-	10	-4	0	––	-1.37		-4.40
5/28	N	Sacred Heart Acad, MI	1-	19	-18	-18		0.00	-0.31
									0.00	1.09

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	H	PCS United	7-	18	1.00
4/19	A	Harper Woods-Regina	5-	16	1.00
4/28	H	Birmingham United	2-	19	-2.86
5/09	H	University Liggett	6-	16	0.00
5/28	N	Sacred Heart Acad, MI	1-	19	0.31
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	54.		Natl CCR Rank	2032
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	53.97		Natl Power Rank	2032
Natl SOS Rating	45.97		Natl SOS Rank	2116
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	743
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1271
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-17.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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