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Rockbridge County Wildcats (10-6)

Region: VA NW AA

State: VA

Coach: Jaclyn Foster

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	MONTICELLO, VA (2-8)	VA NW AA	68.5		W	10-	4		0.050
3/17	at Patrick Henry-Roanoke (3-5)	VA NW AAA	66.5		W	12-	2		0.050
3/20	ST. ANNE'S-BELFIELD (14-7)	VA LIS	78.0		W	7-	4		0.250
3/29	BRENTSVILLE DISTRICT (3-10)	VA NW AA	65.4		W	18-	7		0.000
4/04	at Monticello, VA (2-8)	VA NW AA	68.5		W	13-	6		0.150
4/05	DEEP RUN (9-8)	VA Indep	69.1		W	13-	3		0.025
4/09	at Salem, VA (11-3)	VA NW AA	74.6		W	14-	9		0.275
4/14	ALBEMARLE (16-3)	VA NW AAA	83.5	4	L	4-	11		-0.125
4/16	CHARLOTTESVILLE (2-7)	VA NW AA	70.0		W	11-	7		0.100
4/18	NEW RIVER VALLEY CLUB (0-4)	VA Indep	61.0		W	20-	2		0.000
4/24	at Albemarle (16-3)	VA NW AAA	83.5	4	L	4-	12		0.000
5/02	at Western Albemarle (15-3)	VA NW AA	83.0	5	L	4-	15		0.000
5/06	SALEM, VA (11-3)	VA NW AA	74.6		L	8-	9		-0.350
5/13	vs. Salem, VA # (11-3)	VA NW AA	74.6		W	11-	10	ot	0.200
5/15	at Western Albemarle (15-3)	VA NW AA	83.0	5	L	2-	13		0.000
5/19	at Broad Run (15-5)	VA NW AA	79.9	9	L	4-	16		-0.100
# Neutral site			76.3						0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Monticello, VA	10-	4	6	8	–	-2.28	-2.11
3/17	A	Patrick Henry-Roanoke	12-	2	10	8	+	2.28	2.32
3/20	H	St. Anne's-Belfield	7-	4	3	0	+	-2.28	3.01
3/29	H	Brentsville District	18-	7	11	12		-2.28	-1.32
4/04	A	Monticello, VA	13-	6	7	4	+	2.28	3.45
4/05	H	Deep Run	13-	3	10	9		-2.28	1.26
4/09	A	Salem, VA	14-	9	5	-1	++	2.28	5.56
4/14	H	Albemarle	4-	11	-7	-5		-2.28	-1.82
4/16	H	Charlottesville	11-	7	4	6		-2.28	-1.75
4/18	H	New River Valley Club	20-	2	18	16	+	-2.28	2.33
4/24	A	Albemarle	4-	12	-8	-10		2.28	1.74
5/02	A	Western Albemarle	4-	15	-11	-11		2.28	-0.47
5/06	H	Salem, VA	8-	9	-1	4	––	-2.28	-5.00
5/13	N	Salem, VA	11-	10	1	2		0.00	-0.72
5/15	A	Western Albemarle	2-	13	-11	-11		2.28	-0.47
5/19	A	Broad Run	4-	16	-12	-6	–––	2.28	-6.02
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	A	Patrick Henry-Roanoke	12-	2	0.00
3/29	H	Brentsville District	18-	7	1.32
4/05	H	Deep Run	13-	3	0.00
4/18	H	New River Valley Club	20-	2	-2.33
5/02	A	Western Albemarle	4-	15	0.47
5/15	A	Western Albemarle	2-	13	0.47
5/19	A	Broad Run	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	576
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.19		Natl Power Rank	576
Natl SOS Rating	69.72		Natl SOS Rank	456
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	441
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	691
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3


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