| Conference: MC | Region: NY A Sec 5 | State: NY | Coach: Tom MacMillan |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/29 | N | Ithaca | 14- | 9 | 5 | 7 | | 0.00 | | -2.00 |
3/31 | A | Liverpool | 6- | 7 | -1 | -1 | | 0.84 | | -0.23 |
4/05 | A | Brighton, NY | 4- | 10 | -6 | -7 | | 0.78 | 1.35 | |
4/08 | H | Athena-Odyssey | 20- | 1 | 19 | 24 | –– | -0.78 | -5.44 | |
4/10 | A | Olympia-Arcadia | 19- | 2 | 17 | 15 | | 0.78 | 1.87 | |
4/19 | A | Canandaigua Academy | 8- | 15 | -7 | -5 | | 0.78 | -1.72 | |
4/23 | A | Honeoye Falls-Lima | 7- | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 0.78 | 1.34 | |
4/25 | A | Penfield | 11- | 9 | 2 | 0 | + | 0.78 | 2.48 | |
4/29 | H | Webster Thomas | 16- | 8 | 8 | 6 | | -0.78 | 1.65 | |
5/01 | A | Gates-Chili | 17- | 10 | 7 | 11 | –– | 0.78 | -4.04 | |
5/05 | H | East Rochester | 6- | 10 | -4 | -3 | | -0.78 | -0.93 | |
5/07 | H | Fairport | 4- | 9 | -5 | 3 | ––– | -0.78 | -7.94 | |
5/09 | H | Pittsford | 12- | 11 | 1 | 5 | –– | -0.78 | -4.06 | |
5/13 | H | Webster Schroeder | 14- | 6 | 8 | 10 | | -0.78 | -1.53 | |
5/15 | A | Spencerport | 18- | 4 | 14 | 9 | ++ | 0.78 | 5.49 | |
5/19 | H | Marcellus | 10- | 12 | -2 | 0 | | -0.84 | | -1.77 |
5/29 | H | Spencerport | 18- | 2 | 16 | 10 | ++ | -0.78 | 5.93 | |
5/31 | N | Penfield | 15- | 9 | 6 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.70 | |
6/04 | N | Fairport | 8- | 6 | 2 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.16 | |
6/07 | N | Lancaster, NY | 11- | 13 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.00 | | -2.56 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -6.56 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/08 | H | Athena-Odyssey | 20- | 1 | 5.44 |
4/10 | A | Olympia-Arcadia | 19- | 2 | -1.87 |
5/15 | A | Spencerport | 18- | 4 | -4.00 |
5/29 | H | Spencerport | 18- | 2 | -5.93 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.32 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 84. | | Natl CCR Rank | 126 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 84.06 | | Natl Power Rank | 126 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 79.33 | | Natl SOS Rank | 101 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.17 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1457 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 596 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 9-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
|
