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Southern, Anne Arundel Bulldogs (9-7)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Arvak Marshall

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	ARUNDEL (11-5)	MD 4A	85.0		L	3-	17		-0.100
3/26	at Northern-Calvert (1-12)	MD 3A	70.8		W	11-	5		0.025
4/01	MEADE (1-12)	MD 4A	70.0		W	16-	8		0.000
4/04	at Chesapeake, AA County (8-7)	MD 4A	79.5		L	6-	7		-0.200
4/08	at Broadneck (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	L	5-	17		0.000
4/11	SOUTH RIVER (14-3)	MD 4A	89.1	6	L	1-	18		-0.025
4/15	SEVERNA PARK (20-0)	MD 3A	98.0	1	L	3-	18		0.000
4/18	at Northeast (3-10)	MD 3A	74.9		W	18-	12		0.175
4/22	at Old Mill (4-10)	MD 4A	77.7		W	8-	7		0.275
4/25	GLEN BURNIE (2-10)	MD 4A	72.4		W	18-	8		0.025
4/29	at North County (1-11)	MD 4A	70.9		W	21-	8		0.025
5/02	ANNAPOLIS (11-6)	MD 3A	82.9		L	10-	11		-0.125
5/09	CAMBRIDGE-S DORCHESTER (0-7)	MD 1A	65.2		W	20-	2		0.000
5/13	at Parkside (8-5)	MD 2A	78.8		W	8-	7		0.250
5/14	at Queen Anne's County (10-7)	MD 2A	78.8		W	10-	8		0.250
5/16	vs. Loch Raven # (12-4)	MD 1A	85.2		L	5-	12		-0.075
# Neutral site			79.4						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Arundel	3-	17	-14	-6	–––	-0.99	-7.99
3/26	A	Northern-Calvert	11-	5	6	9	–	0.99	-3.49
4/01	H	Meade	16-	8	8	11	–	-0.99	-3.04
4/04	A	Chesapeake, AA County	6-	7	-1	-2		0.99	0.89
4/08	A	Broadneck	5-	17	-12	-14	+	0.99	2.49
4/11	H	South River	1-	18	-17	-9	–––	-0.99	-7.85
4/15	H	Severna Park	3-	18	-15	-18	+	-0.99	2.55
4/18	A	Northeast	18-	12	6	3	+	0.99	2.61
4/22	A	Old Mill	8-	7	1	-1	+	0.99	2.26
4/25	H	Glen Burnie	18-	8	10	9		-0.99	0.67
4/29	A	North County	21-	8	13	9	++	0.99	4.28
5/02	H	Annapolis	10-	11	-1	-5	+	-0.99	3.91
5/09	H	Cambridge-S Dorchester	20-	2	18	18		-0.99	0.15
5/13	A	Parkside	8-	7	1	0		0.99	1.01
5/14	A	Queen Anne's County	10-	8	2	0		0.99	1.79
5/16	N	Loch Raven	5-	12	-7	-7		0.00	-0.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	H	Arundel	3-	17	4.00
4/08	A	Broadneck	5-	17	-2.49
4/11	H	South River	1-	18	7.00
4/15	H	Severna Park	3-	18	-2.55
4/25	H	Glen Burnie	18-	8	0.00
4/29	A	North County	21-	8	-3.00
5/09	H	Cambridge-S Dorchester	20-	2	-0.15
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	310
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.47		Natl Power Rank	310
Natl SOS Rating	76.04		Natl SOS Rank	200
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	449
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	833
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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