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Southeast Guilford Falcons (1-14)

Region: NC W CenState: NCCoach: Kelley Routh

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/28at Western Guilford (12-5)NC W Cen68.6L0-21 0.000  
3/05PAGE (5-9)NC W Cen61.1L5-10 -0.050  
3/06at Northern Guilford (1-3)NC W Cen57.1W8- 5 0.300  
3/10at Ragsdale (9-4)NC W Cen62.0L3-14 0.000  
3/11WEST FORSYTH (2-9)NC W Cen58.2L6- 7 -0.200  
3/15at Greensboro Day School (11-3)NC W Cen66.3L2-12 0.000  
3/17CHAPEL HILL (13-8)NC E Cen69.29L1-11 0.000  
3/18GRIMSLEY (3-8)NC W Cen60.9L8-18 -0.075  
4/01at Northwest Guilford (7-7)NC W Cen61.5-    
4/08at West Forsyth (2-9)NC W Cen58.2-    
4/11WESTERN GUILFORD (12-5)NC W Cen68.6L0-24 0.000  
4/15NORTHERN GUILFORD (1-3)NC W Cen57.1L7- 9 -0.225  
4/16at Page (5-9)NC W Cen61.1L0-11 -0.050  
4/18GREENSBORO DAY SCHOOL (11-3)NC W Cen66.3L2-15 0.000  
4/22ST. MARY'S, NC (7-9)NC E Cen61.8L4-17 0.000  
4/23NORTHWEST GUILFORD (7-7)NC W Cen61.5L4-13 -0.050  
4/24at Carrboro (4-11)NC E Cen61.3L4-14 0.000  
4/30at Grimsley (3-8)NC W Cen60.9-    
 60.9     -0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/28AWestern Guilford0-21-21   -20       0.39       -0.84
3/05HPage5-10-5   -8       +-0.39       2.72
3/06ANorthern Guilford8-53   -2       ++0.39       4.56
3/10ARagsdale3-14-11   -10       0.39       -1.26
3/11HWest Forsyth6-7-1   -2       -0.39       0.99
3/15AGreensboro Day School2-12-10   -12       +0.39       2.48
3/17HChapel Hill1-11-10   -17       +++-0.39       7.13
3/18HGrimsley8-18-10   -7       -0.39       -3.36
4/11HWestern Guilford0-24-24   -19       ––-0.39       -4.61
4/15HNorthern Guilford7-9-2   -1       -0.39       -1.21
4/16APage0-11-11   -8       0.39       -2.51
4/18HGreensboro Day School2-15-13   -12       -0.39       -1.29
4/22HSt. Mary's, NC4-17-13   -11       -0.39       -2.07
4/23HNorthwest Guilford4-13-9   -8       -0.39       -1.02
4/24ACarrboro4-14-10   -10       0.39       0.28
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/28AWestern Guilford0-210.84
3/10ARagsdale3-141.00
3/15AGreensboro Day School2-12-2.48
3/17HChapel Hill1-11-7.13
3/18HGrimsley8-180.00
4/11HWestern Guilford0-244.61
4/16APage0-111.00
4/18HGreensboro Day School2-151.29
4/22HSt. Mary's, NC4-172.07
4/24ACarrboro4-140.00
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 55.   Natl CCR Rank 1986
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 55.56   Natl Power Rank 1986
Natl SOS Rating 47.58   Natl SOS Rank 2056
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 1694
W-L Pct Rating 0.07   W-L Pct Rank 1977
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 1-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -9.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -15.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -10.7



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