| Region: FL Dist 3 | State: FL | Coach: Alexis Collock |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/11 | at Flagler Palm Coast (8-8) | FL Dist 2 | 67.0 | | L | 3- | 17 | | 0.000 |
2/14 | LAKE MARY (8-8) | FL Dist 4 | 71.6 | | L | 1- | 21 | | 0.000 |
2/19 | LYMAN (5-10) | FL Dist 4 | 65.5 | | L | 6- | 16 | | -0.125 |
2/25 | at East Ridge (2-11) | FL Dist 5 | 57.0 | | L | 15- | 17 | | -0.225 |
2/28 | HAGERTY (1-13) | FL Dist 3 | 61.6 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.300 |
3/06 | at Boone (7-7) | FL Dist 6 | 65.3 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.075 |
3/13 | at Winter Springs (14-5) | FL Dist 3 | 78.2 | 4 | L | 2- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | OVIEDO (14-8) | FL Dist 3 | 75.7 | 9 | L | 4- | 20 | | 0.000 |
3/18 | BISHOP MOORE (4-11) | FL Dist 5 | 65.4 | | L | 8- | 20 | | -0.100 |
3/20 | at Lyman (5-10) | FL Dist 4 | 65.5 | | L | 3- | 11 | | -0.025 |
3/25 | at Lake Brantley (18-4) | FL Dist 4 | 80.7 | 3 | L | 1- | 19 | | 0.000 |
4/01 | vs. Oviedo # (14-8) | FL Dist 3 | 75.7 | 9 | L | 1- | 21 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 69.4 | | | | | | -0.25 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/11 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 3- | 17 | -14 | -10 | – | 1.78 | -3.66 | |
2/14 | H | Lake Mary | 1- | 21 | -20 | -16 | –– | -1.78 | -4.12 | |
2/19 | H | Lyman | 6- | 16 | -10 | -5 | –– | -1.78 | -4.93 | |
2/25 | A | East Ridge | 15- | 17 | -2 | -1 | | 1.78 | -0.87 | |
2/28 | H | Hagerty | 10- | 7 | 3 | -2 | ++ | -1.78 | 5.01 | |
3/06 | A | Boone | 6- | 12 | -6 | -7 | | 1.78 | 1.21 | |
3/13 | A | Winter Springs | 2- | 19 | -17 | -22 | ++ | 1.78 | 5.37 | |
3/14 | H | Oviedo | 4- | 20 | -16 | -18 | | -1.78 | 1.65 | |
3/18 | H | Bishop Moore | 8- | 20 | -12 | -6 | ––– | -1.78 | -6.41 | |
3/20 | A | Lyman | 3- | 11 | -8 | -9 | | 1.78 | 0.63 | |
3/25 | A | Lake Brantley | 1- | 19 | -18 | -25 | +++ | 1.78 | 6.68 | |
4/01 | N | Oviedo | 1- | 21 | -20 | -19 | | 0.00 | -0.57 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/11 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
2/14 | H | Lake Mary | 1- | 21 | 4.12 |
2/19 | H | Lyman | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
3/13 | A | Winter Springs | 2- | 19 | -5.37 |
3/14 | H | Oviedo | 4- | 20 | -1.65 |
3/18 | H | Bishop Moore | 8- | 20 | 2.00 |
3/25 | A | Lake Brantley | 1- | 19 | -6.68 |
4/01 | N | Oviedo | 1- | 21 | 0.57 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.25 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 56. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1977 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 56.37 | | Natl Power Rank | 1977 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 59.63 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1168 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.25 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1547 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.08 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1933 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 1-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -11.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -17.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -17.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -18.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -15.3 |
|
