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Severn School Admirals (12-6)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: R. Sotiropoulos

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/17	at Holton-Arms School (8-10)	DC ISL A	83.9		W	14-	5		0.075
3/19	at Maryvale Prep (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9	10		-
3/22	vs. Severna Park # (20-0)	MD 3A	98.0		L	8-	14		-0.100
3/24	vs. Broadneck # (13-4)	MD 4A	90.8		W	14-	8		0.200
3/26	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	9-	10		-0.150
3/28	MERCY, MD (4-11)	MD IAAM A	84.6		W	14-	8		0.100
3/31	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	L	6-	9		-0.225
4/02	at Notre Dame Prep, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	W	9-	8	2ot	0.250
4/04	MOUNT DE SALES (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		W	14-	6		0.100
4/07	at Maryvale Prep (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9	10	W	13-	7		0.125
4/09	at Seton Keough (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5		W	13-	7		0.025
4/11	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	L	14-	15		-0.325
4/16	GOOD COUNSEL (15-6)	DC WCAC	89.8		W	14-	11		0.150
4/18	at St. Paul's SG, MD (7-12)	MD IAAM A	87.2	9	W	10-	9		0.175
4/23	at Bryn Mawr SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	W	10-	7		0.225
4/25	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	W	14-	7		0.200
4/28	vs. St. Mary's, MD # (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	L	8-	12		-0.250
5/06	ST. MARY'S, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	W	11-	9	ot	0.225
5/08	at McDonogh School (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	L	8-	10		-0.200
# Neutral site			92.0						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	A	Holton-Arms School	14-	5	9	7		1.30		1.83
3/22	N	Severna Park	8-	14	-6	-6		0.00		-0.36
3/24	N	Broadneck	14-	8	6	2	++	0.00		4.40
3/26	H	John Carroll School	9-	10	-1	-4	+	-0.54	3.01
3/28	H	Mercy, MD	14-	8	6	6		-0.54	-0.30
3/31	H	McDonogh School	6-	9	-3	-1		-0.54	-1.71
4/02	A	Notre Dame Prep, MD	9-	8	1	0		0.54	1.22
4/04	H	Mount de Sales	14-	6	8	6		-0.54	1.62
4/07	A	Maryvale Prep	13-	7	6	5		0.54	1.10
4/09	A	Seton Keough	13-	7	6	9	–	0.54	-3.00
4/11	H	Roland Park Country	14-	15	-1	3	–	-0.54	-3.58
4/16	H	Good Counsel	14-	11	3	4		-1.30		-0.89
4/18	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	10-	9	1	3	–	0.54	-2.15
4/23	A	Bryn Mawr SG	10-	7	3	1	+	0.54	2.08
4/25	H	Archbishop Spalding	14-	7	7	2	++	-0.54	4.80
4/28	N	St. Mary's, MD	8-	12	-4	0	––	0.00	-4.45
5/06	H	St. Mary's, MD	11-	9	2	1		-0.54	1.01
5/08	A	McDonogh School	8-	10	-2	-2		0.54	0.36
									0.00	4.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	190.		Natl CCR Rank	13
Natl Poll Vote	98.		Natl Poll Rank	13
Natl Power Rating	92.36		Natl Power Rank	13
Natl SOS Rating	99.84		Natl SOS Rank	2
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	357
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	536
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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