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Shipley School Gators (8-9)

Region: PA Friend

State: PA

Coach: Erika Baker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/18	NOTRE DAME ACAD, PA (14-6)	PA IAC	85.4		L	4-	19		-0.025
3/23	vs. Tappan Zee # (0-15)	NY B Sec 1	71.0		W	13-	6		0.100
3/25	vs. Calverton School # (10-8)	MD CALL	66.4		W	11-	4		0.000
4/01	LOWER MERION (4-14)	PA Centrl	76.7		L	11-	12	ot	-0.300
4/04	MARPLE NEWTOWN (6-13)	PA Centrl	79.0		L	11-	13		-0.175
4/08	at Springside School (6-11)	PA IAC	80.1		L	8-	17		-0.075
4/14	SACRED HEART CDS, PA (2-12)	PA CAL	75.9		W	11-	7		0.125
4/15	MOORESTOWN FRIENDS (0-8)	PA Friend	71.0		W	18-	7		0.000
4/18	WESTTOWN SCHOOL (6-4)	PA Friend	76.9		W	16-	5		0.125
4/19	HAVERFORD (8-11)	PA Centrl	81.7		L	6-	13		-0.150
4/22	ABINGTON FRIENDS (1-5)	PA Friend	69.1		W	17-	3		0.000
4/25	at Acad of the New Church (3-6)	PA Friend	75.2		W	13-	3		0.150
4/26	vs. West Chester Henderson # (7-13)	PA CML-N	81.4		L	4-	16		-0.050
4/29	FRIENDS CENTRAL (5-6)	PA Friend	76.8		W	12-	3		0.150
5/02	at George School (8-3)	PA Friend	77.6		L	11-	14		-0.225
5/06	at Germantown Friends (11-7)	PA Friend	79.1		L	14-	15		-0.175
5/13	at Germantown Friends (11-7)	PA Friend	79.1		L	17-	18	ot	-0.175
# Neutral site			69.4						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	H	Notre Dame Acad, PA	4-	19	-15	-9	––	-1.65	-5.68
3/23	N	Tappan Zee	13-	6	7	6		0.00		0.68
3/25	N	Calverton School	11-	4	7	11	–	0.00		-3.90
4/01	H	Lower Merion	11-	12	-1	2	–	-1.65	-3.37
4/04	H	Marple Newtown	11-	13	-2	-3		-1.65	0.97
4/08	A	Springside School	8-	17	-9	-7	–	1.65	-2.08
4/14	H	Sacred Heart CDS, PA	11-	7	4	5		-1.65	-0.73
4/15	H	Moorestown Friends	18-	7	11	10		-1.65	1.30
4/18	H	Westtown School	16-	5	11	5	+++	-1.65	6.44
4/19	H	Haverford	6-	13	-7	-4	–	-1.65	-2.54
4/22	H	Abington Friends	17-	3	14	15		-1.65	-1.17
4/25	A	Acad of the New Church	13-	3	10	4	++	1.65	5.83
4/26	N	West Chester Henderson	4-	16	-12	-8	––	0.00	-4.49
4/29	H	Friends Central	12-	3	9	4	++	-1.65	4.86
5/02	A	George School	11-	14	-3	-1	–	1.65	-2.42
5/06	A	Germantown Friends	14-	15	-1	-3		1.65	1.55
5/13	A	Germantown Friends	17-	18	-1	-3		1.65	1.55
									0.00	-3.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	H	Notre Dame Acad, PA	4-	19	5.00
4/15	H	Moorestown Friends	18-	7	-1.30
4/18	H	Westtown School	16-	5	-1.00
4/22	H	Abington Friends	17-	3	1.17
4/25	A	Acad of the New Church	13-	3	0.00
4/26	N	West Chester Henderson	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	434
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.29		Natl Power Rank	434
Natl SOS Rating	58.75		Natl SOS Rank	1234
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2094
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1093
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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