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St. Johns Catholic Prep Vikings (5-12)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: Kelly Nangle

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Inst. of Notre Dame (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2	5	L	5-	10		-0.150
4/04	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4	10	L	14-	15		-0.250
4/05	at Tuscarora (3-11)	MD 1A	66.6		W	10-	6		0.150
4/07	at Oldfields School (3-12)	MD IAAM B	71.5	8	W	10-	4		0.300
4/09	PARK SCHOOL (13-3)	MD IAAM B	79.3	2	L	6-	19		0.000
4/11	ST. TIMOTHY'S (7-9)	MD IAAM B	71.9	6	L	9-	10		-0.200
4/14	at Wakefield School, VA (1-8)	VA Indep	62.9		W	12-	5		0.075
4/16	at Garrison Forest (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4	1	L	2-	17		0.000
4/17	at Chapelgate Christian (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7	4	L	7-	13		-0.125
4/18	at Friends School (12-5)	MD IAAM B	76.3	3	L	6-	14		-0.050
4/21	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7	4	L	10-	14		-0.150
4/23	at Annapolis Area Christ. (4-9)	MD IAAM B	71.6	7	L	15-	17		-0.175
4/26	at St. James School (9-7)	DC Indep	74.0		W	13-	11		0.350
4/29	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4	10	L	14-	15		-0.250
4/30	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (7-11)	MD IAAM B	72.2	5	L	2-	15		-0.200
5/01	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRIST. (4-9)	MD IAAM B	71.6	7	L	7-	10		-0.225
5/02	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4	10	W	15-	8		0.250
			72.7						-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	5-	10	-5	-4		0.71	-1.24
4/04	H	Glenelg Country School	14-	15	-1	0		-0.71	-0.74
4/05	A	Tuscarora	10-	6	4	4		0.85		0.03
4/07	A	Oldfields School	10-	4	6	-2	+++	0.71	8.02
4/09	H	Park School	6-	19	-13	-12		-0.71	-1.37
4/11	H	St. Timothy's	9-	10	-1	-2		-0.71	0.53
4/14	A	Wakefield School, VA	12-	5	7	7		1.50		-0.05
4/16	A	Garrison Forest	2-	17	-15	-16		0.71	0.68
4/17	A	Chapelgate Christian	7-	13	-6	-5		0.71	-0.70
4/18	A	Friends School	6-	14	-8	-8		0.71	-0.32
4/21	H	Chapelgate Christian	10-	14	-4	-4		-0.71	-0.12
4/23	A	Annapolis Area Christ.	15-	17	-2	-3		0.71	0.91
4/26	A	St. James School	13-	11	2	-4	++	1.38		5.92
4/29	H	Glenelg Country School	14-	15	-1	0		-0.71	-0.74
4/30	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	2-	15	-13	-2	–––	-0.71	10.66
5/01	H	Annapolis Area Christ.	7-	10	-3	-1		-0.71	-1.51
5/02	H	Glenelg Country School	15-	8	7	0	+++	-0.71	7.26
									0.00	5.89

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Park School	6-	19	1.37
4/16	A	Garrison Forest	2-	17	-0.68
4/30	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	2-	15	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	877
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.44		Natl Power Rank	877
Natl SOS Rating	63.72		Natl SOS Rank	856
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2036
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1507
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-12		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-12		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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