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South Windsor Bobcats (11-6)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Ed Duclos

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	AMITY (6-10)	CT Div 2	72.7		W	6-	5		0.100
4/05	at New Canaan (16-5)	CT Div 1	83.1	4	L	4-	18		0.000
4/10	at Southington (3-10)	CT Div 1	69.7		W	12-	3		0.075
4/12	at Cheshire HS (11-8)	CT Div 1	76.0		W	15-	14		0.225
4/15	at Choate Rosemary Hall (8-8)	NE	76.2		W	9-	5		0.225
4/17	SIMSBURY (5-8)	CT Div 1	72.9		W	8-	3		0.100
4/29	WINDSOR (3-13)	CT Div 2	67.9		W	16-	5		0.000
5/01	HALL, WEST HARTFORD (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	9-	10		-0.125
5/03	BRANFORD (6-11)	CT Div 1	73.1		W	10-	5		0.125
5/08	at Newington (4-11)	CT Div 2	69.7		W	18-	8		0.025
5/10	at South Hadley (9-8)	MA West D1	69.0		W	13-	4		0.050
5/12	SOMERS, CT (2-14)	CT Div 1	67.5		W	15-	2		0.000
5/15	at Conard (9-8)	CT Div 1	75.9		L	8-	9		-0.275
5/19	at Longmeadow (20-3)	MA West D1	85.3		L	5-	13		-0.050
5/21	GLASTONBURY (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	L	13-	14	2ot	-0.125
5/29	NORWICH FREE ACAD (7-8)	CT Div 1	69.9		W	16-	4		0.000
5/31	at Greenwich HS (14-4)	CT Div 1	83.1	3	L	7-	16		-0.050
			73.3						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Amity	6-	5	1	6	––	-0.81	-5.08
4/05	A	New Canaan	4-	18	-14	-10	––	0.81	-4.14
4/10	A	Southington	12-	3	9	7		0.81	1.60
4/12	A	Cheshire HS	15-	14	1	1		0.81	-0.36
4/15	A	Choate Rosemary Hall	9-	5	4	1	+	0.93		3.05
4/17	H	Simsbury	8-	3	5	6		-0.81	-1.43
4/29	H	Windsor	16-	5	11	11		-0.81	-0.11
5/01	H	Hall, West Hartford	9-	10	-1	-5	++	-0.81	4.26
5/03	H	Branford	10-	5	5	5		-0.81	0.31
5/08	A	Newington	18-	8	10	9		0.81	1.35
5/10	A	South Hadley	13-	4	9	8		0.86		0.85
5/12	H	Somers, CT	15-	2	13	11	+	-0.81	2.26
5/15	A	Conard	8-	9	-1	1	–	0.81	-2.19
5/19	A	Longmeadow	5-	13	-8	-8		0.86		0.11
5/21	H	Glastonbury	13-	14	-1	-5	+	-0.81	3.54
5/29	H	Norwich Free Acad	16-	4	12	11		-0.81	0.82
5/31	A	Greenwich HS	7-	16	-9	-8		0.81	-0.85
									0.00	4.01

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	New Canaan	4-	18	4.00
4/29	H	Windsor	16-	5	0.11
5/08	A	Newington	18-	8	0.00
5/12	H	Somers, CT	15-	2	-2.26
5/29	H	Norwich Free Acad	16-	4	-0.82
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	382
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.06		Natl Power Rank	382
Natl SOS Rating	65.16		Natl SOS Rank	738
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	646
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	604
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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